比赛详情

新西兰 vs 埃及

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

这场怎么看

新

新西兰

埃

埃及

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

初版预测

首发修正状态

已完成

预测已完成

已根据官方首发完成最后一次预测，现在显示的是最新版本。

当前版本

初版预测这是最早发出的版本。

本场主推赔率1.82

大小球：小 2.5

概率

56%

信心

medium

信心

58%

发布时间

2026年6月22日 GMT+8 07:43

开球时间

2026年6月22日 GMT+8 09:00

最后更新

2026年6月22日 GMT+8 10:42

结果

输

主要看点

Reference first-half lines lean toward Egypt pressure but not an extreme early goal expectation. Matchday-2 escalation is moderate: a win is valuable, but both teams still retain qualification paths with a draw, so goal-difference chasing should not dominate from kickoff.
Both start 4-2-3-1 with double pivots, giving each back four cover; New Zealand have Wood as the clear focal point, while Egypt’s best creators sit behind Marmoush rather than loading the XI with extra forwards.
Under 2.5 beats the closest rejected family, Asian Handicap, because Home +1 needs New Zealand to survive an Egypt first-goal script, while Away -1 needs Egypt to win by 2+ or push on exactly one; the total needs fewer margin assumptions in an efficient market.

首发名单

首发还没出来，出来后会更新。

伤停

这场暂时没有伤停信息。

为什么选它

已完成

The cleanest angle is a controlled 4-2-3-1 v 4-2-3-1 game where both midfields have two holders and neither side is structurally forced into early desperation. New Zealand’s main route is service into Wood plus Singh/Just support, which can create moments but not necessarily repeated high-volume chances. Egypt have the higher-end attackers, yet the -1 handicap is fragile because a one-goal win only pushes and New Zealand’s set-piece/focal-point route keeps the backdoor alive. BTTS Yes is rejected because New Zealand have a plausible scoring route, but not enough supplied evidence of stable high-quality shot volume against Egypt’s protected back four.

风险提醒

Tactical Counter: If Egypt score first, New Zealand have enough direct outlet and attacking bench options to open the game late, which is the main Under risk. A second-half chase by either side could turn a controlled match into transition volume.

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