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Mexico vs South Africa

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Résumé

Mexico

South Africa

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Initial pick

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Événement principalPrice1.80

Asian Handicap: South Africa +1.25

Probabilité

61%

Confidence

medium

Confidence

61%

Published

11 juin 2026, 19:42 UTC+2

Coup d’envoi

11 juin 2026, 21:00 UTC+2

Last update

12 juin 2026, 02:49 UTC+2

Résultat

PERDU

Ce qui a guidé la lecture

Match #1 with all teams on 0 points favors caution, goal-difference protection, and draw value under the expanded third-place qualification format.
Mexico have the stronger squad and bench, but start in a single-striker 4-1-4-1 with several impact attackers held back; South Africa’s 5-3-2, Williams, Mokoena and two forwards support a compact margin-control setup.
Away +1.25 gives protection against a one-goal Mexico win; Mexico must win by 2+ to fully beat the angle, which is a high bar for a group opener.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Pourquoi il a fait le board

Complete

South Africa’s defensive 5-3-2 and group-opener incentives make a heavy Mexico win less likely than the -1.25 line implies. Mexico should control more of the ball, but a conservative first match and South Africa’s counter outlets point toward a competitive scoreline rather than a clear 2+ margin.

Risque principal

Tactical Counter: Mexico’s home setting and deeper attacking bench can create late pressure if South Africa are pinned back or concede first.

Chronologie des mises à jour