USA vs Paraguay

Current version

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• Opening Group D match with all teams on 0 points; no Matchday 3 qualification/rotation dynamic and no extra time. Expect Paraguay to keep structure, while USA should build pressure as the match opens.
• USA start with Adams screening Richards/Ream, plus Pulišić, McKennie, Tillman/Dest and Balogun ahead; the bench has Reyna, Weah, Pepi, Wright, Zendejas and Aaronson for late attacking changes. Paraguay’s 4-4-2 has real counter threat through Almirón, Enciso and Sanabria, but looks more reactive.
• Side market preferred. Away +0.25 at 2.00 is not enough against USA’s stronger starting XI and deeper attacking bench. On totals, Under 2 at 1.90 is better value than Over 2 at 1.875 because this is an opening group match with no goal-difference chase, but USA’s late attacking options keep a 2-1 risk live, so the side edge is cleaner.