Detalle
FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Union Berlin
Bundesliga · 33
Resumen
vs
Bundesliga · 33
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Mewa Arena · Mainz
Referee
—
Live score
1-3
Evento principal
Goals Over/Under: Over 2.75
Probabilidad
61%
Cuota
1.72
Initial publish
10 may 2026, 18:39 CEST
Kickoff
10 may 2026, 19:30 CEST
Revision time
10 may 2026, 21:03 CEST
Halftime score
0-1
Qué movió la lectura
- + Both shapes bring width, direct runners and enough box presence for repeat chances rather than a controlled low-event game.
- + Official XIs still support an attacking script: Mainz keep Becker-Tietz in a 3-5-2 with Amiri/Nebel, while Union go 4-2-3-1 with Burke, Burcu and Ansah behind Ilic.
- + Mainz -0.5 at 1.82 is too fragile in a dead-rubber and Lee is not in the XI; BTTS Yes is the natural read but too short, so Over 2.75 is the cleanest eligible expression.
Official lineups
FSV Mainz 05
Formation: 3-5-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #27 · Robin Zentner · GOALKEEPER
- #21 · Danny da Costa · DEFENDER
- #4 · Stefan Posch · DEFENDER
- #31 · Dominik Kohr · DEFENDER
- #19 · Anthony Caci · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Paul Nebel · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Kaishu Sano · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Nadiem Amiri · MIDFIELDER
- #2 · Grenddy Perozo · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Phillip Tietz · ATTACKER
- #23 · Sheraldo Becker · ATTACKER
Bench
Jae-sung Lee, Armindo Sieb, Lennard Maloney, Nikolas Veratschnig, Sota Kawasaki, Silvan Widmer, Daniel Batz, Nelson Weiper
FC Union Berlin
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #25 · Carl Klaus · GOALKEEPER
- #28 · Christopher Trimmel · DEFENDER
- #5 · Danilho Doekhi · DEFENDER
- #4 · Diogo Leite · DEFENDER
- #15 · Tom Rothe · DEFENDER
- #8 · Rani Khedira · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Aljoscha Kemlein · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Oliver Burke · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Ilyas Ansah · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Livan Burcu · MIDFIELDER
- #23 · Andrej Ilic · ATTACKER
Bench
Woo-yeong Jeong, András Schäfer, Leopold Querfeld, Josip Juranovic, Tim Skarke, Alex Král, Stanley Nsoki, Derrick Köhn
Injuries
- FSV Mainz 05 · Jae-sung Lee · Broken Toe · BROKEN_TOE
- FSV Mainz 05 · Maxim Leitsch · Hamstring Injury · HAMSTRING_INJURY
- FSV Mainz 05 · Silas · Tibia And Fibula Fracture · TIBIA_AND_FIBULA_FRACTURE
Por qué entró al board
Becker-Tietz for Mainz and Union's Burke/Burcu/Ansah-Ilic setup give this enough transition and box-threat on both sides to make goals cleaner than the handicap.
Riesgo principal
Odds Trap: The market already leans hard to goals; if Union's double pivot slows the game or either team loses intensity after scoring, this can stall at two goals.
Línea de actualización
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
10 may 2026, 18:39 CEST
Revision time
10 may 2026, 21:03 CEST
Marcador
1-3