Match detail
Villarreal vs Celta de Vigo
La Liga · 32
Match summary
vs
La Liga · 32
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Estadio de la Cerámica · Villarreal
Referee
—
Live score
2-1
Top event
Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5
Probability
60%
Price
1.70
Initial publish
Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 26, 2026, 8:02 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
2-0
What shaped the view
- + Both setups have real width and enough attacking depth on the benches to keep the game live after halftime.
- + Official XIs override the earlier flags: Pedraza, Freeman and Mingueza all start, and both teams show attack-minded shapes with Villarreal 4-4-2 against Celta 3-4-2-1.
- + Villarreal deserve favoritism, but the home side sits in the awkward short-favorite band; the goals angle is cleaner than selling a home win.
Official lineups
Celta de Vigo
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #13 · Ionuț Radu · GOALKEEPER
- #32 · Javi Rodríguez · DEFENDER
- #29 · Yoel Lago · DEFENDER
- #20 · Marcos Alonso · DEFENDER
- #3 · Óscar Mingueza · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Hugo Sotelo · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Ilaix Moriba · MIDFIELDER
- #5 · Sergio Carreira · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Pablo Durán · ATTACKER
- #23 · Hugo Álvarez · ATTACKER
- #7 · Borja Iglesias · ATTACKER
Bench
Iván Villar, Fer López, Ferran Jutglà, Iago Aspas, Manu Fernández, Álvaro Núñez, Javi Rueda, Mihailo Ristic
Villarreal
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #25 · Arnau Tenas · GOALKEEPER
- #3 · Alex Freeman · DEFENDER
- #4 · Rafa Marín · DEFENDER
- #12 · Renato Veiga · DEFENDER
- #24 · Alfonso Pedraza · DEFENDER
- #19 · Nicolas Pépé · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Santi Comesaña · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Pape Gueye · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Alberto Moleiro · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Gerard Moreno · ATTACKER
- #9 · Georges Mikautadze · ATTACKER
Bench
Luiz Júnior, Logan Costa, Willy Kambwala, Pau Navarro, Dani Parejo, Alfon González, Thomas Partey, Tani Oluwaseyi
Injuries
- Celta de Vigo · Miguel Román · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Villarreal · Juan Foyth · Achilles tendon rupture · ACHILLES_TENDON_RUPTURE
- Celta de Vigo · Carl Starfelt · Back Injury · BACK_INJURY
- Villarreal · Pau Cabanes · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Villarreal · Santiago Mouriño · Thigh Muscle Strain · THIGH_MUSCLE_STRAIN
- Celta de Vigo · Matías Vecino · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Celta de Vigo · Williot Swedberg · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Celta de Vigo · Joseph Aidoo · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
Why it made the board
Villarreal start Gerard Moreno and Mikautadze together with natural width, while Celta keep two support attackers behind Borja plus active wing-backs, so the official lineups point to chances at both ends more clearly than a side play.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: The main danger is Celta's back five flattening the tempo; if Villarreal control territory without giving up transitions, the match can die at 2-0 or 1-1.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 26, 2026, 8:02 PM GMT+2
Score
2-1