Match detail
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28
Match summary
vs
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Match Finished
Venue
MHPArena · Stuttgart
Referee
Robert Schröder, Germany
Live score
0-2
Top event
Asian Handicap: Borussia Dortmund +0.5
Probability
61%
Price
1.67
Initial publish
Apr 4, 2026, 8:47 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 4, 2026, 6:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 4, 2026, 5:53 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Mirror 3-4-2-1 setups should create long controlled spells and transition moments rather than one-way home pressure.
- + Stuttgart start Nartey behind Undav, with Demirović, Leweling and El Khannouss on the bench. Dortmund still have a strong spine in Kobel, Schlotterbeck, Sabitzer and Guirassy, with Brandt and Adeyemi as live bench options.
- + The 1X2 is priced like a near coin-flip, so the away half-ball is the cleaner way to play Dortmund.
Official lineups
VfB Stuttgart
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: Sebastian Hoeness
Starting XI
- #33 · Alexander Nübel · G
- #29 · Finn Jeltsch · D
- #24 · Jeff Chabot · D
- #3 · Ramon Hendriks · D
- #22 · Lorenz Assignon · M
- #16 · Atakan Karazor · M
- #6 · Angelo Stiller · M
- #7 · Maximilian Mittelstädt · M
- #28 · Nikolas Nartey · F
- #10 · Chris Führich · F
- #26 · Deniz Undav · F
Bench
Jamie Leweling, Bilal El Khannouss, Tiago Tomás, Ermedin Demirović, Chema Andrés, Luca Jaquez, Fabian Bredlow, Ameen Al-Dakhil
Borussia Dortmund
Formation: 3-5-2 · Coach: Niko Kovac
Starting XI
- #1 · Gregor Kobel · G
- #3 · Waldemar Anton · D
- #4 · Nico Schlotterbeck · D
- #5 · Ramy Bensebaini · D
- #26 · Julian Ryerson · M
- #20 · Marcel Sabitzer · M
- #7 · Jobe Bellingham · M
- #17 · Carney Chukwuemeka · M
- #24 · Daniel Svensson · M
- #9 · Serhou Guirassy · F
- #14 · Maximilian Beier · F
Bench
Karim Adeyemi, Fábio Silva, Julian Brandt, Yan Couto, Samuele Inacio, Niklas Süle, Alexander Meyer, Salih Özcan
Injuries
- VfB Stuttgart · L. Jovanovic · Missing Fixture · Back Injury
- VfB Stuttgart · D. Zagadou · Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury
- Borussia Dortmund · E. Can · Missing Fixture · Knee Injury
- Borussia Dortmund · F. Mane · Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury
- Borussia Dortmund · F. Nmecha · Missing Fixture · Knee Injury
- VfB Stuttgart · L. Jovanovic · Missing Fixture · Back Injury
- VfB Stuttgart · D. Zagadou · Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury
- Borussia Dortmund · E. Can · Missing Fixture · Knee Injury
- Borussia Dortmund · F. Mane · Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury
- Borussia Dortmund · F. Nmecha · Missing Fixture · Knee Injury
Why it made the board
Dortmund’s XI looks sturdy enough to stay in this and Stuttgart are not starting their most aggressive attacking version. In a tight mirror matchup, BVB +0.5 is the higher-percentage angle.
Main risk
If Stuttgart’s Stiller-Karazor midfield controls territory and their wing-backs pin Dortmund back, the home side can turn pressure into a straight win.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 4, 2026, 8:47 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 4, 2026, 5:53 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked
Odds snapshot
No odds snapshot is currently available for this match.