Match detail

Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Match summary

Switzerland

BAH

Bosnia and Herzegovina

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Initial pick

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Top eventPrice1.97

Asian Handicap: Switzerland -1

Probability

53%

Confidence

medium

Confidence

58%

Published

Jun 18, 2026, 8:02 PM GMT+2

Kickoff

Jun 18, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2

Last update

Jun 19, 2026, 2:30 AM GMT+2

Result

WIN

What shaped the view

Both teams have 1 point after opening 1-1 draws, so neither is already qualified or incentivized to rotate. A draw is not disastrous, but a win materially improves top-two position, and Switzerland’s structure is better suited to sustained territory rather than an open trade.
Switzerland’s 4-3-3 gives them the cleaner midfield control with Xhaka, Freuler and Aebischer against Bosnia’s flatter 4-4-2, while Akanji/Elvedi provide strong coverage against the Demirović-Džeko pairing. Swiss bench options Okafor, Vargas, Amdouni and Itten also preserve late attacking pressure.
Home -1 at 1.97 is preferred over Away +1 at 1.87 because Switzerland’s XI and bench create the better margin profile; the push on a one-goal win protects part of the favorite risk, while Bosnia +1 still relies heavily on keeping the match close for 90 minutes.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Why it made the board

Complete

Switzerland rate as the stronger tournament unit here: better central balance, more defensive protection, and more flexible attacking substitutions. Bosnia’s 4-4-2 can threaten directly, but it risks being outnumbered in midfield and stretched late if Switzerland control territory. Home -1 needs a two-goal win for full profit but pushes on a one-goal win, making it the cleanest side-family edge among the supplied prices.

Main risk

Tactical Counter: Bosnia’s two-forward setup can punish one transition or set-piece, and a level group state means Switzerland may not chase reckless goal difference if leading by one.

Update timeline