Match detail
St. Pauli vs FC Köln
Bundesliga · 30
Match summary
vs
Bundesliga · 30
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Not Started
Venue
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top eventPrice1.72
Draw No Bet - FC Köln
Probability
59%
Confidence
medium
Confidence
59%Initial publish
Apr 17, 2026, 6:34 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 17, 2026, 8:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 17, 2026, 7:34 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- This should be transition-heavy enough for Köln's wide runners and front two to find space around St. Pauli's wing-back structure.
- St. Pauli are short through the spine with Fujita suspended and Smith/Sands out, while Köln keep a front-foot 4-4-2 with more attacking depth on the bench.
- The away lean is there, but DNB is the cleaner expression in a match still priced fairly tight.
Official lineups
St. Pauli
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #3 · Karol Mets · DEFENDER
- #5 · Hauke Wahl · DEFENDER
- #7 · Jackson Irvine · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Danel Sinani · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Arkadiusz Pyrka · MIDFIELDER
- #15 · T. Ando · DEFENDER
- #20 · Mathias Rasmussen · MIDFIELDER
- #21 · Lars Ritzka · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Nikola Vasilj · GOALKEEPER
- #27 · Andréas Hountondji · ATTACKER
- #28 · Mathias Pereira Lage · MIDFIELDER
Bench
Ben Voll, Manolis Saliakas, David Nemeth, Abdoulie Ceesay, Taichi Hara, Martijn Kaars, Louis Oppie, Connor Metcalfe
FC Köln
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Marvin Schwäbe · GOALKEEPER
- #6 · Eric Martel · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Ragnar Ache · ATTACKER
- #13 · Said El Mala · ATTACKER
- #16 · Jakub Kamiński · MIDFIELDER
- #17 · Alessio Castro-Montes · DEFENDER
- #18 · Ísak Jóhannesson · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Jahmai Simpson-Pusey · DEFENDER
- #28 · Sebastian Sebulonsen · DEFENDER
- #29 · Jan Thielmann · MIDFIELDER
- #39 · Cenk Özkacar · DEFENDER
Bench
Joël Schmied, Tom Krauß, Luca Waldschmidt, Ron-Robert Zieler, Felipe Chavez, Marius Bülter, Rav van den Berg, Linton Maina
Injuries
- St. Pauli · Joel Chima Fujita · Yellow Card Suspension · YELLOW_CARD_SUSPENSION
- St. Pauli · Connor Metcalfe · Fitness · FITNESS
- FC Köln · Malek El Mala · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- FC Köln · Timo Hübers · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- St. Pauli · James Sands · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- St. Pauli · Eric Smith · Calf Injury · CALF_INJURY
- FC Köln · Luca Kilian · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- St. Pauli · Ricky-Jade Jones · Syndesmotic Ligament Tear · SYNDESMOTIC_LIGAMENT_TEAR
Why it made the board
CompleteOfficial lineups tilt this toward Köln. St. Pauli's central absences hurt control and rest defence, while Köln arrive with two strikers, natural width and stronger late-game options. Away DNB keeps the better route-to-points without forcing the straight win.
Main risk
Odds Trap: The danger is a classic away-price trap: St. Pauli can still create a home-territory game through the wing-backs and expose Köln's patched centre-back unit.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 17, 2026, 6:34 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 17, 2026, 7:34 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked