Match detail
Sporting CP vs Santa Clara
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28
Match summary
vs
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Match Finished
Venue
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon
Referee
A. Narciso
Live score
4-2
Top event
Asian Handicap - Sporting CP -1.25
Probability
62%
Price
1.68
Initial publish
Apr 3, 2026, 9:52 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 3, 2026, 9:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 3, 2026, 8:38 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
3-1
What shaped the view
- + Sporting should own territory and chance volume; Santa Clara's shape can leave them defending wide areas for long stretches.
- + Sporting still start Morita, Bragança, Catamo, Trincão and Pedro Gonçalves, while Santa Clara keep a 4-3-3 instead of adding an extra defender.
- + The straight home win is too short, and -1.25 is the sensible step up without forcing the line to -1.5 or higher.
Official lineups
Sporting CP
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: Rui Borges
Starting XI
- #1 · Rui Silva · G
- #13 · Giorgos Vagiannidis · D
- #72 · Eduardo Quaresma · D
- #6 · Zeno Debast · D
- #91 · Ricardo Mangas · D
- #23 · Daniel Bragança · M
- #5 · Hidemasa Morita · M
- #10 · Geny Catamo · M
- #17 · Francisco Trincão · M
- #8 · Pedro Gonçalves · M
- #90 · Rafael Nel · F
Bench
Maximiliano Araújo, João Simões, Morten Hjulmand, Souleymane Faye, Flavio Goncalves, Ousmane Diomande, Giorgi Kochorashvili, João Virgínia
Santa Clara
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: Vasco Matos
Starting XI
- #1 · Gabriel Batista · G
- #42 · Lucas Soares · D
- #23 · Sidney Lima · D
- #94 · Henrique Silva · D
- #5 · Guilherme Romão · D
- #10 · Gabriel Silva · M
- #8 · Pedro Ferreira · M
- #35 · Serginho · M
- #49 · Welinton · M
- #77 · Gustavo Klismahn · F
- #26 · Luis Fernando · F
Bench
José Tavares, Vinícius Lopes, Brenner, Darlan, Gonçalo Paciência, Paulo Victor, Frederico Venâncio, Diogo Calila
Injuries
No injury report is currently available for this match.
Why it made the board
Official XIs still favor Sporting control and sustained pressure, with enough creators on the pitch to separate against a Santa Clara side that has not gone ultra-defensive. Given the home win price is unusable, -1.25 is the cleanest side-based way to sell the likely script.
Main risk
The main danger is Sporting dominating but not finishing cleanly, leaving a 1-goal win like 1-0 or 2-1.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 3, 2026, 9:52 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 3, 2026, 8:38 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked
Odds snapshot
No odds snapshot is currently available for this match.