Match detail
Sporting CP vs Arsenal
Champions League · Quarter-finals
Match summary
vs
Champions League · Quarter-finals
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisboa
Referee
—
Live score
0-1
Top event
Match Winner / 1X2 - Away
Probability
58%
Price
1.85
Initial publish
Apr 7, 2026, 2:16 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 7, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 7, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Arsenal should control more of the ball, but Sporting have enough front-foot threat to stop this becoming a slow, low-event game.
- + Arsenal’s back-four and Rice-Zubimendi-Ødegaard midfield give them the stronger spine; Sporting are without suspended Hjulmand and look lighter in the double pivot.
- + The straight away win is cleaner than forcing a bigger Arsenal handicap in a high-level knockout matchup.
Official lineups
Arsenal
Formation: 4-3-3 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · David Raya · GOALKEEPER
- #4 · Ben White · DEFENDER
- #2 · William Saliba · DEFENDER
- #6 · Gabriel Magalhães · DEFENDER
- #33 · Riccardo Calafiori · DEFENDER
- #8 · Martin Ødegaard · MIDFIELDER
- #36 · Martín Zubimendi · MIDFIELDER
- #41 · Declan Rice · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Noni Madueke · ATTACKER
- #14 · Viktor Gyökeres · ATTACKER
- #19 · Leandro Trossard · ATTACKER
Bench
Cristhian Mosquera, Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Martinelli, Kepa Arrizabalaga, Christian Nørgaard, Kai Havertz, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Max Dowman
Sporting CP
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Rui Silva · GOALKEEPER
- #22 · Iván Fresneda · DEFENDER
- #26 · Ousmane Diomande · DEFENDER
- #25 · Gonçalo Inácio · DEFENDER
- #20 · Maxi Araújo · DEFENDER
- #5 · Hidemasa Morita · MIDFIELDER
- #52 · João Simões · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Geny Catamo · MIDFIELDER
- #17 · Francisco Trincão · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Pedro Gonçalves · MIDFIELDER
- #97 · Luis Suárez · ATTACKER
Bench
Zeno Debast, João Virgínia, Georgios Vagiannidis, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Souleymane Faye, Daniel Bragança, Diego Callai, Flávio Gonçalves
Injuries
- Arsenal · Mikel Merino · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Sporting CP · Nuno Santos · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Arsenal · Jurriën Timber · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Arsenal · Piero Hincapié · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Sporting CP · Luís Guilherme · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Sporting CP · Geovany Quenda · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Sporting CP · Morten Hjulmand · Yellow Card Suspension · YELLOW_CARD_SUSPENSION
- Sporting CP · Fotis Ioannidis · Medial Collateral Ligament Injury · MEDIAL_COLLATERAL_LIGAMENT_INJURY
- Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Why it made the board
Arsenal’s XI looks stronger through the middle, and Hjulmand’s suspension is a bad loss for Sporting against Rice, Zubimendi and Ødegaard. Arsenal’s recent away form is solid enough to back the straight win at this price.
Main risk
Sporting’s home attack can keep this volatile, and the main failure mode is Arsenal controlling the game but only coming away with a draw.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 7, 2026, 2:16 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 7, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked