Match detail
Southampton vs Ipswich Town
Championship · 40
Match summary
vs
Championship · 40
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Not Started
Venue
St. Mary's Stadium · Southampton
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top eventPrice1.82
Goals Over/Under: Over 2.5
Probability
58%
Confidence
medium
Confidence
58%Initial publish
Apr 28, 2026, 4:14 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 28, 2026, 8:45 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 28, 2026, 7:48 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- Width on both sides should create crossing and transition chances, with Over 2.5 preferred over stretching to 2.75 or 3.0.
- Official XIs are in: both set up 4-2-3-1 with natural wide players and a central striker, so neither side looks built purely to sit in.
- The -0.25 handicap prices are close to coin-flip territory, making the side angle less clean than the goals line.
Official lineups
Southampton
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #3 · Ryan Manning · DEFENDER
- #6 · Taylor Harwood-Bellis · DEFENDER
- #9 · Cyle Larin · ATTACKER
- #10 · Finn Azaz · MIDFIELDER
- #13 · Leo Scienza · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · James Bree · DEFENDER
- #15 · Nathan Wood · DEFENDER
- #18 · Tom Fellows · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Caspar Jander · MIDFIELDER
- #24 · Shea Emmanuel Charles · MIDFIELDER
- #41 · Daniel Peretz · GOALKEEPER
Bench
Ross Stewart, Joshua Quarshie, Cameron Archer, Samuel Edozie, George Long, Oriol Romeu, Welington, Elias Jelert
Ipswich Town
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #3 · Leif Davis · DEFENDER
- #5 · Azor Matusiwa · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Dan Neil · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Wes Burns · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Jaden Philogene · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Darnell Furlong · DEFENDER
- #24 · Jacob Greaves · DEFENDER
- #26 · Dara O'Shea · DEFENDER
- #28 · Christian Walton · GOALKEEPER
- #31 · Iván Azón · ATTACKER
- #32 · Marcelino Núñez · MIDFIELDER
Bench
Alex Palmer, Cédric Kipré, George Hirst, Jens Cajuste, Ben Johnson, Kasey McAteer, Chuba Akpom, Anis Mehmeti
Injuries
- Southampton · Mads Roerslev · Achilles tendon problems · ACHILLES_TENDON_PROBLEMS
- Ipswich Town · Conor Townsend · Cruciate Ligament Injury · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_INJURY
- Ipswich Town · David Button · Calf Injury · CALF_INJURY
- Ipswich Town · Ashley Young · Hip Flexor Problems · HIP_FLEXOR_PROBLEMS
Why it made the board
CompleteThe side market is too evenly split, while both official lineups point to usable width, No.10 support and enough attacking balance for chances at both ends. Over 2.5 is the cleaner expression at 1.82.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Failure modes: the mirrored 4-2-3-1s could cancel each other centrally and settle into a 1-1 rhythm; the recent H2H goal pattern may also regress.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 28, 2026, 4:14 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 28, 2026, 7:48 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked