Match detail
Sevilla vs Real Sociedad
La Liga · 34
Match summary
vs
La Liga · 34
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla
Referee
—
Live score
1-0
Top event
Goals Over/Under: Over 2.25
Probability
58%
Price
1.85
Initial publish
May 4, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 4, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 4, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Sevilla’s survival need should force front-foot spells, but their midfield/defensive balance looks fragile enough for Sociedad to find transition chances too.
- + Official XIs are out: Sevilla go 4-4-2 with Romero and Maupay plus Ejuke/Vargas wide, while Sow is suspended; Sociedad still carry Oyarzabal, Barrenetxea and Soler despite some rotation.
- + Best side-family alternative was rejected because Sevilla’s anchor draw-cover has disappeared into Home -0.25 at 2.05, while Away +0.25 means fading a relegation-zone home side; the total is the cleaner expression.
Official lineups
Real Sociedad
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Álex Remiro · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Jon Aramburu · DEFENDER
- #31 · Jon Martín · DEFENDER
- #16 · Duje Caleta-Car · DEFENDER
- #17 · Sergio Gómez · DEFENDER
- #8 · Beñat Turrientes · MIDFIELDER
- #4 · Jon Gorrotxategi · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Ander Barrenetxea · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Carlos Soler · MIDFIELDER
- #15 · Pablo Marín · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Mikel Oyarzabal · ATTACKER
Bench
Aihen Muñoz, Aritz Elustondo, Orri Óskarsson, Yangel Herrera, Unai Marrero, Takefusa Kubo, Arsen Zakharyan, Wesley
Sevilla
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Odysseas Vlachodimos · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · José Ángel Carmona · DEFENDER
- #32 · Andrés Castrín · DEFENDER
- #4 · Kike Salas · DEFENDER
- #12 · Gabriel Suazo · DEFENDER
- #11 · Rubén Vargas · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Lucien Agoumé · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Nemanja Gudelj · MIDFIELDER
- #21 · Chidera Ejuke · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Isaac Romero · ATTACKER
- #17 · Neal Maupay · ATTACKER
Bench
César Azpilicueta, Tanguy Nianzou, Joan Jordán, Akor Adams, Alexis Sánchez, Ørjan Nyland, Peque Fernández, Juanlu Sánchez
Injuries
- Real Sociedad · Igor Zubeldia · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Real Sociedad · Gonçalo Guedes · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Sevilla · Djibril Sow · Yellow Card Suspension · YELLOW_CARD_SUSPENSION
- Sevilla · Marcão · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Real Sociedad · Álvaro Odriozola · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Sevilla · Manu Bueno · Edema In The Knee · EDEMA_IN_THE_KNEE
Why it made the board
The official lineups point to a more open game than the side prices do: Sevilla need the win and have picked two strikers with width, while Sow’s absence weakens control and Sociedad still have enough technical threat to punish spaces. Over 2.25 gives protection at exactly two goals and fits the chase-state better than taking either side.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Tactical Counter: Sociedad can slow this with possession, and Sevilla’s pressure may turn into low-quality crossing rather than clear chances.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 4, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 4, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Score
1-0