Match detail
Sevilla vs Espanyol
La Liga · 35
Match summary
vs
La Liga · 35
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla
Referee
—
Live score
2-1
Top event
Goals Over/Under: Under 2.25
Probability
59%
Price
1.79
Initial publish
May 9, 2026, 3:19 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 9, 2026, 4:15 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 9, 2026, 8:28 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Expect a guarded first phase with more direct play and second-ball battles than sustained clean chance creation, unless an early goal forces one team to open up.
- + Official XIs largely confirm the initial under anchor: both teams start in flat 4-4-2s, Sevilla keep Agoumé and Gudelj as a controlling central pair, and Espanyol are still without Puado.
- + Best AH was Espanyol +0.5 at 1.89, but a mirrored relegation matchup is too draw-heavy and noisy to call on the right side; BTTS No at 1.70 is narrower because a tense 1-1 still gives Under 2.25 a half-win.
Official lineups
Espanyol
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #13 · Marko Dmitrovic · GOALKEEPER
- #23 · Omar El Hilali · DEFENDER
- #5 · Fernando Calero · DEFENDER
- #6 · Ludovic Taillandier · DEFENDER
- #22 · Carlos Romero · DEFENDER
- #4 · Urko González de Zárate · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Edu Expósito · MIDFIELDER
- #2 · Rubén Sánchez · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Ramón Terrats · MIDFIELDER
- #24 · Tyrhys Dolan · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Roberto Fernández · ATTACKER
Bench
Ángel Fortuño, Pol Lozano, Pere Milla, José Salinas, Miguel Rubio, Jofre Carreras, Charles Pickel, Kike García
Sevilla
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Odysseas Vlachodimos · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · José Ángel Carmona · DEFENDER
- #32 · Andrés Castrín · DEFENDER
- #4 · Kike Salas · DEFENDER
- #12 · Gabriel Suazo · DEFENDER
- #11 · Rubén Vargas · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Lucien Agoumé · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Nemanja Gudelj · MIDFIELDER
- #21 · Chidera Ejuke · MIDFIELDER
- #17 · Neal Maupay · ATTACKER
- #7 · Isaac Romero · ATTACKER
Bench
César Azpilicueta, Tanguy Nianzou, Joan Jordán, Akor Adams, Alexis Sánchez, Ørjan Nyland, Peque Fernández, Juanlu Sánchez
Injuries
- Espanyol · Cyril Ngonge · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Sevilla · Marcão · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Espanyol · Javi Puado · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Sevilla · Manu Bueno · Edema In The Knee · EDEMA_IN_THE_KNEE
Why it made the board
The lineup revision keeps the same read: mirrored 4-4-2 shapes, Espanyol missing Puado, and a high-pressure survival spot all point to a tighter game than the side prices suggest. Under 2.25 is the cleaner expression because it fits the cagey 0-0/1-0/1-1 band without forcing a fragile side call.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: An early opener flips the script; the team behind will have to chase, and that can turn a controlled game into a stretched second half.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 9, 2026, 3:19 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 9, 2026, 8:28 PM GMT+2
Score
2-1