Match detail

Scotland vs Morocco

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Match summary

Scotland

Morocco

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Initial pick

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Top eventPrice2.00

Asian Handicap: Scotland +0.75

Probability

56%

Confidence

medium

Confidence

58%

Published

Jun 19, 2026, 11:09 PM GMT+2

Kickoff

Jun 20, 2026, 12:00 AM GMT+2

Last update

Jun 20, 2026, 2:28 AM GMT+2

Result

HALF LOSS

What shaped the view

Scotland already have 3 points, so avoiding defeat has real group value; Morocco still want the win but do not need to force a reckless early game with Haiti still to come.
Scotland’s 3-4-2-1 gives them a back-five base with McTominay/Ferguson protection and set-piece threat, while Morocco start a creative 4-2-3-1 but keep Amrabat, El Kaabi and Rahimi on the bench.
Home +0.75 at 2.00 is preferred because a draw or Scotland win pays fully, and a one-goal Scotland loss is only a half loss; Away -0.75 needs Morocco to turn superiority into margin, which is demanding in this setup.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Why it made the board

Complete

Scotland’s compact XI and tournament position make them live to keep this close. Morocco have more technical control through Hakimi, Mazraoui, Brahim and Ounahi, but the starting striker/pivot mix looks more about control than overwhelming margin. At 2.00, Scotland +0.75 gives enough protection against a tight draw or narrow Morocco win.

Main risk

Tactical Counter: Morocco’s wide overloads can pin Scotland’s wing-backs, and their bench attackers can raise the late tempo if Scotland are forced to chase.

Update timeline