Match detail

Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Qualification - Preliminary

Match summary

STA

Sao Tome and Principe

Ethiopia

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Qualification - Preliminary

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Top event

Asian Handicap - Ethiopia +0.5

Probability

77%

Price

1.70

Published

Mar 27, 2026, 12:35 AM GMT+1

Kickoff

Mar 27, 2026, 5:00 PM GMT+1

Last update

Mar 27, 2026, 4:03 PM GMT+1

Result

PENDING

What shaped the view

+ Preliminary qualifiers often stay controlled, which suits the stronger side simply avoiding defeat.
+ No official XIs are supplied, so this leans on market shape rather than personnel assumptions.
+ Ethiopia are already 1.71 to win, so taking +0.5 at 1.70 is the cleaner version with draw cover.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Why it made the board

The safest sell is Ethiopia +0.5. The outright away win is already short, and this handicap gives near-identical price while covering the cagey draw that often shows up in these qualifiers.

Main risk

The main way it fails is a flat Ethiopia display in tricky away conditions and Sao Tome nicking a low-event home win.

Update timeline

Current version

Initial pick

Published

Mar 27, 2026, 12:35 AM GMT+1

Last update

Mar 27, 2026, 4:03 PM GMT+1

Score

Locked

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