Match detail
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga · 29
Match summary
vs
Bundesliga · 29
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Red Bull Arena · Leipzig
Referee
—
Live score
1-0
Top event
Under 3.5 Goals
Probability
62%
Price
1.70
Initial publish
Apr 11, 2026, 12:11 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 11, 2026, 3:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 11, 2026, 2:57 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Leipzig should control territory; Gladbach's setup leans lower-event unless they concede early.
- + Gladbach start a 3-4-2-1 without Kleindienst and Hack; Leipzig have Schlager, Seiwald and Baumgartner in midfield.
- + Leipzig handicaps need a clear margin, while the total covers tighter home-win scripts.
Official lineups
RB Leipzig
Formation: 4-3-3 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #26 · Maarten Vandevoordt · GOALKEEPER
- #17 · Ridle Baku · DEFENDER
- #4 · Willi Orbán · DEFENDER
- #5 · El Chadaille Bitshiabu · DEFENDER
- #22 · David Raum · DEFENDER
- #14 · Christoph Baumgartner · MIDFIELDER
- #13 · Nicolas Seiwald · MIDFIELDER
- #24 · Xaver Schlager · MIDFIELDER
- #49 · Yan Diomande · ATTACKER
- #40 · Rômulo · ATTACKER
- #7 · Antonio Nusa · ATTACKER
Bench
Péter Gulácsi, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Johan Bakayoko, Brajan Gruda, Lukas Klostermann, Assan Ouédraogo, Tidiam Gomis, Max Finkgräfe
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Formation: 4-3-3 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #33 · Moritz Nicolas · GOALKEEPER
- #29 · Joe Scally · DEFENDER
- #30 · Nico Elvedi · DEFENDER
- #4 · Kevin Diks · DEFENDER
- #26 · Lukas Ullrich · DEFENDER
- #27 · Rocco Reitz · MIDFIELDER
- #16 · Philipp Sander · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Yannik Engelhardt · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Franck Honorat · ATTACKER
- #15 · Haris Tabakovic · ATTACKER
- #17 · Jens Castrop · ATTACKER
Bench
Fabio Chiarodia, Kevin Stöger, Florian Neuhaus, Giovanni Reyna, Kota Takai, Shuto Machino, Jan Olschowsky, Wael Mohya
Injuries
- Borussia Mönchengladbach · Alejo Sarco · Torn Muscle Fiber · TORN_MUSCLE_FIBER
- RB Leipzig · Xaver Schlager · Fitness · FITNESS
- RB Leipzig · Leopold Zingerle · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- RB Leipzig · Suleiman Sani · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- Borussia Mönchengladbach · Tim Kleindienst · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Borussia Mönchengladbach · Tiago Pereira Cardoso · Infection · INFECTION
- Borussia Mönchengladbach · Robin Hack · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Borussia Mönchengladbach · Nathan Ngoumou · Fitness · FITNESS
- RB Leipzig · Castello Lukeba · Groin Injury · GROIN_INJURY
- RB Leipzig · Conrad Harder · Thigh Problems · THIGH_PROBLEMS
Why it made the board
Gladbach's XI is built to protect more than trade, and missing Kleindienst plus Hack lowers their scoring ceiling. With Leipzig's control-heavy midfield, the cleaner angle is under 3.5 rather than asking the home side to win by margin.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: An early Leipzig goal can force Gladbach to open up, and that can flip the game into a 3-1 or 4-0 scoreline.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 11, 2026, 12:11 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 11, 2026, 2:57 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked