Match detail
Rayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg
Europa Conference League · Semi-finals
Match summary
vs
Europa Conference League · Semi-finals
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid
Referee
—
Live score
1-0
Top event
Goals Over/Under: Over 2.25
Probability
58%
Price
1.77
Initial publish
Apr 29, 2026, 11:33 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 30, 2026, 8:06 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Wide runners and No.10s on both sides point to transition and box-entry volume rather than a pure cage match.
- + Official XIs both show 4-2-3-1s with four attacking pieces: Rayo have Ilias, Isi and de Frutos behind Zurawski; Strasbourg have Moreira, Enciso and Godo behind Emegha.
- + The handicap board is noisy, with no side angle clean enough at 1.70+. Over 2.25 at 1.77 is the safer goals expression than chasing Over 2.5.
Official lineups
Rayo Vallecano
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #13 · Augusto Batalla · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Andrei Rațiu · DEFENDER
- #24 · Florian Lejeune · DEFENDER
- #6 · Pathé Ciss · DEFENDER
- #3 · Pep Chavarría · DEFENDER
- #17 · Unai López · MIDFIELDER
- #23 · Óscar Valentín · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Jorge de Frutos · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Isi Palazón · MIDFIELDER
- #12 · Ilias Akhomach · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Alexandre Zurawski · ATTACKER
Bench
Dani Cárdenas, Pedro Díaz, Oscar Trejo, Sergio Camello, Gerard Gumbau, Iván Balliu, Alfonso Espino, Adrián Molina
Strasbourg
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #39 · Mike Penders · GOALKEEPER
- #24 · Lucas Høgsberg · DEFENDER
- #2 · Andrew Omobamidele · DEFENDER
- #6 · Ismaël Doukouré · DEFENDER
- #3 · Ben Chilwell · DEFENDER
- #29 · Samir El Mourabet · MIDFIELDER
- #42 · Abdoul Ouattara · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Diego Moreira · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Julio Enciso · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Martial Godo · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Emmanuel Emegha · ATTACKER
Bench
Karl-Johan Johnsson, Maxi Oyedele, Sebastian Nanasi, Mathis Amougou, Samuel Amo-Ameyaw, Ghianny Kodia Ladji, Jean-Baptiste Bosey, Yoann Becker
Injuries
- Strasbourg · Aarón Anselmino · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Rayo Vallecano · Álvaro García · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Rayo Vallecano · Fran Pérez · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Strasbourg · Valentín Barco · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- Rayo Vallecano · Luiz Felipe · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Strasbourg · Joaquín Panichelli · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Strasbourg · Mathis Amougou · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- Rayo Vallecano · Diego Mendez · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Strasbourg · Guela Doué · Ill · ILL
Why it made the board
Side prices feel too conflicted for a semi-final, but the official lineups support goals: both teams start with width, a central creator and a proper No.9, while neither setup looks built only to sit in. Over 2.25 keeps some protection if the game lands on exactly two.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Main fail is tactical: the two double pivots could slow the first-leg rhythm. Regression risk is also live if the game has territory but finishes as a low-efficiency 1-1.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 29, 2026, 11:33 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 30, 2026, 8:06 PM GMT+2
Score
1-0