Match detail
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche
La Liga · Regular Season - 30
Match summary
vs
La Liga · Regular Season - 30
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Match Finished
Venue
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas · Madrid
Referee
José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Live score
1-0
Top event
Match Winner / 1X2 - Rayo Vallecano
Probability
57%
Price
1.80
Initial publish
Apr 3, 2026, 9:52 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 3, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 3, 2026, 8:08 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Rayo should have more territory and width, while Elche's threat is more likely to come on transitions.
- + Rayo stay in a natural 4-3-3 with De Frutos, Alemão and Álvaro García starting; Elche go 3-4-3 away from home and arrive with more listed absences.
- + The straight home win is cleaner than forcing a bigger handicap, and it pays better than the equivalent Home -0.5 line.
Polymarket reference
Main pick price
1.80
Polymarket reference
Lower · 1.00
Market delta
-0.80
Official lineups
Rayo Vallecano
Formation: 4-3-3 · Coach: Inigo Perez
Starting XI
- #13 · Augusto Batalla · G
- #2 · Andrei Rațiu · D
- #24 · Florian Lejeune · D
- #5 · Luiz Felipe · D
- #3 · Josep Chavarría · D
- #7 · Isi Palazón · M
- #23 · Óscar Valentín · M
- #17 · Unai López · M
- #19 · Jorge de Frutos · F
- #9 · Alemão · F
- #18 · Álvaro García · F
Bench
Randy Nteka, Pedro Díaz, Sergio Camello, Alfonso Espino, Carlos Martín, Iván Balliu, Abdul Mumin, Dani Cárdenas
Elche
Formation: 3-4-3 · Coach: Eder Sarabia
Starting XI
- #1 · Matías Dituro · G
- #22 · David Affengruber · D
- #6 · Pedro Bigas · D
- #21 · Léo Pétrot · D
- #42 · Buba Sangare · M
- #8 · Marc Aguado · M
- #14 · Aleix Febas · M
- #15 · Tete Morente · M
- #11 · Germán Valera · F
- #20 · Álvaro Rodriguez · F
- #10 · Rafa Mir · F
Bench
Adrià Pedrosa, Gonzalo Villar, André Silva, Federico Redondo, Yago Santiago, Lucas Cepeda, David Delgado, Alex Herraiz
Injuries
- Rayo Vallecano · P. Ciss · Missing Fixture · Yellow Cards
- Rayo Vallecano · D. Mendez · Missing Fixture · Knee Injury
- Rayo Vallecano · N. Mendy · Questionable · Injury
- Rayo Vallecano · F. Perez · Questionable · Back Injury
- Elche · A. Boayar · Missing Fixture · Injury
- Elche · V. Chust · Missing Fixture · Injury
- Elche · G. Diangana · Missing Fixture · Injury
- Elche · J. Donald · Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury
- Elche · H. Fort · Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury
- Rayo Vallecano · P. Ciss · Missing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Why it made the board
Rayo’s XI is set up to press and attack the flanks, which is a good fit against Elche’s away 3-4-3. With the home side carrying the cleaner structure and Elche bringing more absences into the night, the home win is the best eligible side angle.
Main risk
Ciss being out can weaken Rayo’s midfield control, and Elche’s front three can make this awkward if Rayo fail to score first.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 3, 2026, 9:52 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 3, 2026, 8:08 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked
Odds snapshot
No odds snapshot is currently available for this match.