Match detail
Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool
Champions League · Quarter-finals
Match summary
vs
Champions League · Quarter-finals
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Parc des Princes · Paris
Referee
—
Live score
2-0
Top event
Match Winner / 1X2 - Paris Saint Germain
Probability
58%
Price
1.82
Initial publish
Apr 8, 2026, 12:21 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 8, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 8, 2026, 8:11 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
1-0
What shaped the view
- + PSG should own more territory through their full-backs and wide rotations, while Liverpool’s best threat is in transition.
- + PSG start Dembélé, Doué and Kvaratskhelia with their three-man midfield intact; Liverpool are without Alisson and leave Salah and Isak on the bench.
- + The straight home win is cleaner than forcing PSG into a bigger handicap against a side with elite bench upside.
Polymarket reference
Main pick price
1.82
Polymarket reference
Lower · 1.00
Market delta
-0.82
Official lineups
Liverpool
Formation: 3-5-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #25 · Giorgi Mamardashvili · GOALKEEPER
- #5 · Ibrahima Konaté · DEFENDER
- #4 · Virgil van Dijk · DEFENDER
- #2 · Joe Gomez · DEFENDER
- #30 · Jeremie Frimpong · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Dominik Szoboszlai · MIDFIELDER
- #38 · Ryan Gravenberch · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Alexis Mac Allister · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Milos Kerkez · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Florian Wirtz · ATTACKER
- #22 · Hugo Ekitiké · ATTACKER
Bench
Alexander Isak, Mohamed Salah, Federico Chiesa, Curtis Jones, Cody Gakpo, Andrew Robertson, Freddie Woodman, Trey Nyoni
Paris Saint Germain
Formation: 4-3-3 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #39 · Matvey Safonov · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Achraf Hakimi · DEFENDER
- #5 · Marquinhos · DEFENDER
- #51 · Willian Pacho · DEFENDER
- #25 · Nuno Mendes · DEFENDER
- #87 · João Neves · MIDFIELDER
- #17 · Vitinha · MIDFIELDER
- #33 · Warren Zaïre-Emery · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Désiré Doué · ATTACKER
- #10 · Ousmane Dembélé · ATTACKER
- #7 · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · ATTACKER
Bench
Lucas Beraldo, Ilya Zabarnyi, Gonçalo Ramos, Kang-in Lee, Lucas Hernández, Senny Mayulu, Pedro Fernández, Lucas Chevalier
Injuries
- Liverpool · Harvey Davies · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Liverpool · Stefan Bajcetic · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Liverpool · Rhys Williams · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Paris Saint Germain · Quentin Ndjantou · Hamstring Injury · HAMSTRING_INJURY
- Paris Saint Germain · Bradley Barcola · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Paris Saint Germain · Fabián Ruiz · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Liverpool · Conor Bradley · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Liverpool · Alisson · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Liverpool · Giovanni Leoni · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Liverpool · Wataru Endo · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Why it made the board
PSG’s XI is the cleaner side of the lineups: their 4-3-3 has more natural control in midfield and better width on both sides, while Liverpool arrive without Alisson and with major attacking names not starting. That points to PSG generating the better chance volume at home, so the 1X2 is the most sellable side angle.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Liverpool can sit off, attack the space behind Hakimi and Nuno Mendes, then change the match late with Salah or Isak from the bench.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 8, 2026, 12:21 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 8, 2026, 8:11 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked