Match detail
World Cup 2026 · round_of_16
Match summary
World Cup 2026 · round_of_16
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Asian Handicap: France -1.75
Probability
Confidence
Confidence
58%Published
Kickoff
Last update
Result
What shaped the view
Official lineups
Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.
Injuries
No injury report is currently available for this match.
Why it made the board
CompleteFrance have the cleaner side-family angle at the eligible price. Their lineup has multiple margin-building routes: wide 1v1 pressure, Olise between the lines, Mbappé attacking the box, and a strong late bench if Paraguay chase. The market is efficient and -1.75 is margin-sensitive, but Paraguay's lone-striker 5-4-1 can be pinned long enough for France to turn territorial control into a two-goal-plus result.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Away -1.75 needs a regulation-time margin: a two-goal France win only half-wins, and a controlled one-goal knockout script loses. Paraguay's counters and late forward substitutes also create set-piece and transition risk.
Update timeline
Current version
Published
Last update
Score