Match detail
Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid
La Liga · 36
Match summary
vs
La Liga · 36
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Not Started
Venue
Estadio El Sadar · Pamplona
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top event
Asian Handicap: Osasuna +0.25
Probability
60%
Price
1.74
Initial publish
May 12, 2026, 8:52 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 12, 2026, 9:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 12, 2026, 8:52 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Likely controlled to moderate early, then more transition-heavy if Atlético have to chase; that makes home quarter-ball protection cleaner than forcing a straight winner or totals call.
- + Official XIs confirm Budimir with Rubén García, Moi Gómez and Raúl Moro for Osasuna; Atlético still carry the three listed midfield absences even with Griezmann, Lookman and Almada all starting.
- + Best alternative was Over 2.5, but the goals case is not clearly stronger than the home no-loss angle, and BTTS Yes is below the publishable price band.
Official lineups
Osasuna
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #13 · Aitor Fernández · GOALKEEPER
- #19 · Valentin Rosier · DEFENDER
- #22 · Enzo Boyomo · DEFENDER
- #24 · Alejandro Catena · DEFENDER
- #20 · Javi Galán · DEFENDER
- #7 · Jon Moncayola · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Lucas Torró · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Rubén García · MIDFIELDER
- #16 · Moi Gómez · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Raúl Moro · MIDFIELDER
- #17 · Ante Budimir · ATTACKER
Bench
Iker Benito, Juan Cruz, Jorge Herrando, Iker Muñoz, Raúl García, Aimar Oroz, Kike Barja, Abel Bretones
Atlético Madrid
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Juan Musso · GOALKEEPER
- #14 · Marcos Llorente · DEFENDER
- #18 · Marc Pubill · DEFENDER
- #17 · Dávid Hancko · DEFENDER
- #3 · Matteo Ruggeri · DEFENDER
- #21 · Obed Vargas · MIDFIELDER
- #4 · Rodrigo Mendoza · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Koke · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Thiago Almada · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Antoine Griezmann · ATTACKER
- #22 · Ademola Lookman · ATTACKER
Bench
Alexander Sørloth, Jan Oblak, Clément Lenglet, Robin Le Normand, Rayane Belaid, Salvador Esquivel, Javier Boñar, Julio Díaz
Injuries
- Atlético Madrid · Johnny Cardoso · Ankle Surgery · ANKLE_SURGERY
- Atlético Madrid · Nico González · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Atlético Madrid · Pablo Barrios · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
Why it made the board
The 0.0 line is now flat, so the extra quarter-ball is the better way to keep the Osasuna anchor. Osasuna's XI has its focal point and creators intact, while Atlético's listed midfield absences still point to a less controlled away setup despite the strong front line.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Atlético's greater urgency can still turn territory into an away win, especially if Griezmann and Lookman get space before Osasuna settle.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 12, 2026, 8:52 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 12, 2026, 8:52 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked