Match detail
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
Europa League · Semi-finals
Match summary
vs
Europa League · Semi-finals
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
The City Ground · Nottingham
Referee
—
Live score
1-0
Top event
Goals Over/Under: Over 2.25
Probability
59%
Price
1.80
Initial publish
Apr 29, 2026, 11:33 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 30, 2026, 8:07 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Forest’s direct front two and Villa’s transition quality point to enough chances, especially with Forest missing defensive pieces, but this is not an all-out chase script.
- + Official XIs lean attacking: Forest start Wood and Igor Jesus in a 4-4-2, while Villa have Watkins with Rogers, Buendía and McGinn behind him. Onana starting does add Villa control.
- + Only totals are eligible. Over 2.25 is the cleaner expression than chasing Over 2.5, with protection if the semi-final lands on exactly two goals.
Official lineups
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #23 · Emiliano Martínez · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Matty Cash · DEFENDER
- #4 · Ezri Konsa · DEFENDER
- #14 · Pau Torres · DEFENDER
- #12 · Lucas Digne · DEFENDER
- #24 · Amadou Onana · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Youri Tielemans · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · John McGinn · MIDFIELDER
- #27 · Morgan Rogers · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Emiliano Buendía · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Ollie Watkins · ATTACKER
Bench
Victor Lindelöf, Tyrone Mings, Harvey Elliott, Andrés García, Tammy Abraham, Jadon Sancho, Douglas Luiz, Ian Maatsen
Nottingham Forest
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #27 · Stefan Ortega · GOALKEEPER
- #34 · Ola Aina · DEFENDER
- #31 · Nikola Milenković · DEFENDER
- #4 · Morato · DEFENDER
- #3 · Neco Williams · DEFENDER
- #21 · Omari Hutchinson · MIDFIELDER
- #16 · Nicolás Domínguez · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Elliot Anderson · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Morgan Gibbs-White · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Igor Jesus · ATTACKER
- #11 · Chris Wood · ATTACKER
Bench
Lorenzo Lucca, Ryan Yates, James McAtee, Matz Sels, Dilane Bakwa, Zach Abbott, Archie Whitehall, Jimmy Sinclair
Injuries
- Nottingham Forest · Callum Hudson-Odoi · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Nottingham Forest · Dilane Bakwa · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · Eric da Silva Moreira · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · Nicolò Savona · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Aston Villa · Boubacar Kamara · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · Willy Boly · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · John Victor · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · Jair Cunha · Shoulder Injury · SHOULDER_INJURY
- Aston Villa · Amadou Onana · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
Why it made the board
The official XIs give both sides credible scoring routes: Forest are set up direct with two strikers, and Villa’s first-choice attacking spine is on the pitch. Over 2.25 keeps the angle sellable without needing a wide-open game.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Villa’s Onana-Tielemans base could slow the match, and semi-final caution can still drag this toward 1-1 or 1-0.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 29, 2026, 11:33 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 30, 2026, 8:07 PM GMT+2
Score
1-0