Match detail
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
Premier League · 32
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 32
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
The City Ground · Nottingham
Referee
—
Live score
1-1
Top event
Both Teams to Score - Yes
Probability
58%
Price
1.75
Initial publish
Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 12, 2026, 3:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 12, 2026, 2:06 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
1-1
What shaped the view
- + Market pricing points more to a trading game and 1-1/2-1 type scorelines than one team controlling it.
- + No official lineups in the feed yet, so this leans on odds shape rather than assumed starters.
- + 1X2 and DNB are almost perfectly split; BTTS is the cleaner signal than forcing a side.
Official lineups
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #40 · Marco Bizot · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Matty Cash · DEFENDER
- #3 · Victor Lindelöf · DEFENDER
- #14 · Pau Torres · DEFENDER
- #12 · Lucas Digne · DEFENDER
- #24 · Amadou Onana · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Youri Tielemans · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · John McGinn · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Ross Barkley · MIDFIELDER
- #27 · Morgan Rogers · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Ollie Watkins · ATTACKER
Bench
Ezri Konsa, Emiliano Buendía, Andrés García, Tammy Abraham, Douglas Luiz, Ian Maatsen, Lamare Bogarde, Leon Bailey
Nottingham Forest
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #26 · Matz Sels · GOALKEEPER
- #34 · Ola Aina · DEFENDER
- #31 · Nikola Milenković · DEFENDER
- #5 · Murillo · DEFENDER
- #3 · Neco Williams · DEFENDER
- #6 · Ibrahim Sangaré · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Elliot Anderson · MIDFIELDER
- #21 · Omari Hutchinson · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Morgan Gibbs-White · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Callum Hudson-Odoi · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Igor Jesus · ATTACKER
Bench
Morato, Chris Wood, Dan Ndoye, Nicolás Domínguez, Ryan Yates, James McAtee, Luca Netz, Stefan Ortega
Injuries
- Aston Villa · Jadon Sancho · Shoulder Injury · SHOULDER_INJURY
- Aston Villa · Alysson · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · Jair Cunha · Foot Injury · FOOT_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · Nicolò Savona · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · John Victor · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · Eric da Silva Moreira · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Nottingham Forest · Willy Boly · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Aston Villa · Boubacar Kamara · Cruciate Ligament Injury · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_INJURY
Why it made the board
The winner markets are basically a coin flip, but BTTS is priced shorter than over 2.5, which usually signals both attacks are live and 1-1 is very much in play. With absences on both sides and no confirmed XI, backing each team to score is cleaner than selling either result.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Main danger is a tactical standoff that turns this into a 1-0/0-1 game; secondary risk is simple finishing regression after a market that leans toward goals.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 12, 2026, 2:06 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked