Match detail
Napoli vs AC Milan
Serie A · 31
Match summary
vs
Serie A · 31
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Napoli
Referee
—
Live score
1-0
Top event
AC Milan +0.25 Asian Handicap
Probability
57%
Price
1.84
Initial publish
Apr 6, 2026, 12:57 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 6, 2026, 8:45 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 6, 2026, 9:10 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Napoli have seen more of the ball, but Milan's early threat has been cleaner and more direct.
- + Napoli are missing Rrahmani, Di Lorenzo, Lukaku and Neres, while Milan start a compact 3-5-2 and still keep Leão, Pulisic and Gimenez in reserve.
- + The quarter-ball is stronger than Milan DNB because this matchup has clear draw equity.
Official lineups
AC Milan
Formation: 3-5-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #16 · Mike Maignan · GOALKEEPER
- #23 · Fikayo Tomori · DEFENDER
- #5 · Koni De Winter · DEFENDER
- #31 · Strahinja Pavlović · DEFENDER
- #56 · Alexis Saelemaekers · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Youssouf Fofana · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Luka Modrić · MIDFIELDER
- #12 · Adrien Rabiot · MIDFIELDER
- #33 · Davide Bartesaghi · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Niclas Füllkrug · ATTACKER
- #18 · Christopher Nkunku · ATTACKER
Bench
Pietro Terracciano, Pervis Estupiñán, Samuele Ricci, Santiago Gimenez, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Rafael Leão, Christian Pulisic, Zachary Athekame
Napoli
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #32 · Vanja Milinković-Savić · GOALKEEPER
- #5 · Juan Jesus · DEFENDER
- #4 · Alessandro Buongiorno · DEFENDER
- #17 · Mathías Olivera · DEFENDER
- #3 · Miguel Gutiérrez · MIDFIELDER
- #99 · Frank Anguissa · MIDFIELDER
- #68 · Stanislav Lobotka · MIDFIELDER
- #37 · Leonardo Spinazzola · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Kevin De Bruyne · ATTACKER
- #8 · Scott McTominay · ATTACKER
- #23 · Giovane · ATTACKER
Bench
Alex Meret, Billy Gilmour, Nikita Contini, Eljif Elmas, Matteo Politano, Alisson Santos, Pasquale Mazzocchi, Sam Beukema
Injuries
- Napoli · Amir Rrahmani · Thigh Muscle Strain · THIGH_MUSCLE_STRAIN
- Napoli · David Neres · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- Napoli · Antonio Vergara · Foot Injury · FOOT_INJURY
- AC Milan · Matteo Gabbia · Inguinal Hernia · INGUINAL_HERNIA
- Napoli · Romelu Lukaku · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Napoli · Giovanni Di Lorenzo · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
Why it made the board
Napoli’s absences weaken both their defensive stability and their attacking edge, and the XI looks lighter up front. Milan’s away split is solid, their 3-5-2 should congest central spaces, and the live shape already shows them carrying the sharper transition threat.
Main risk
If Napoli turn their possession into sustained pressure and De Bruyne starts feeding runners between the lines, home control can flip the game.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 6, 2026, 12:57 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 6, 2026, 9:10 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked