Morocco vs Haiti

Current version

What shaped the view

• First-half reference prices point to Morocco pressure but not a guaranteed early rout. Matchday 3 escalation is above normal: Haiti cannot sit on a draw, and if they concede first their chase can open late spaces for Morocco’s bench.
• Morocco’s 4-2-3-1 has Hakimi/Salah-Eddine width, Amrabat-El Aynaoui control, and Brahim Díaz/Saibari/El Khannouss behind El Kaabi, with Rahimi, Ounahi, Talbi and Mazraoui available to raise late pressure. Haiti’s 4-4-2 has outlets through Isidor/Joseph and attacking bench options, but its supplied group record is 0 goals from two games.
• Group C context drives the pick: Morocco are on 4 pts, Haiti on 0. A Morocco win secures automatic top-2 control and can still pressure Brazil for 1st via GD/GF; a draw likely keeps Morocco alive for top 2 but reduces 1st-place leverage; a loss risks falling into a Scotland/Brazil tiebreak or third-place path. Haiti need a win plus external help for any realistic best-third route, so a draw or loss is effectively elimination/theoretical-only survival. Finishing 1st sends Group C winner to R32 M76 vs Runner-up F, 2nd to M75 vs Winner F, and 3rd to harder winner-group routes, so Morocco have some incentive to extend rather than simply protect qualification. Closest rejected family: Goals Over/Under, especially Over 3, but Home -2 is preferred because a 3-0 Morocco script wins the handicap while Over 3 only pushes, and Haiti’s scoring path is not stable enough to make the total cleaner.