Match detail
Manchester United vs Liverpool
Premier League · 35
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 35
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Not Started
Venue
Old Trafford · Manchester
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top eventPrice1.80
Asian Handicap: Manchester United 0.0
Probability
62%
Confidence
medium
Confidence
62%Initial publish
May 3, 2026, 3:33 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 3, 2026, 4:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 3, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- Both 4-2-3-1s can create transition spells, but United’s home attack has the clearer balance and the 0.0 line protects against rivalry volatility.
- Official XIs support the anchor: Cunha starts with Bruno, Mbeumo and Sesko, while Liverpool are without Salah and start Woodman in goal. Martínez being suspended keeps confidence capped.
- Side-family preferred: Over 3.0 is live, but it needs four goals to fully win and Liverpool’s missing finishing pieces make it less clean than United draw protection.
Official lineups
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #28 · Freddie Woodman · GOALKEEPER
- #17 · Curtis Jones · DEFENDER
- #5 · Ibrahima Konaté · DEFENDER
- #4 · Virgil van Dijk · DEFENDER
- #26 · Andrew Robertson · DEFENDER
- #38 · Ryan Gravenberch · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Alexis Mac Allister · MIDFIELDER
- #30 · Jeremie Frimpong · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Dominik Szoboszlai · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Florian Wirtz · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Cody Gakpo · ATTACKER
Bench
Joe Gomez, Milos Kerkez, Federico Chiesa, Ármin Pécsi, Trey Nyoni, Kieran Morrison, Rio Ngumoha, Talla Ndiaye
Manchester United
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #31 · Senne Lammens · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Diogo Dalot · DEFENDER
- #5 · Harry Maguire · DEFENDER
- #26 · Ayden Heaven · DEFENDER
- #23 · Luke Shaw · DEFENDER
- #18 · Casemiro · MIDFIELDER
- #37 · Kobbie Mainoo · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Bryan Mbeumo · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Bruno Fernandes · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Matheus Cunha · MIDFIELDER
- #30 · Benjamin Sesko · ATTACKER
Bench
Altay Bayındır, Noussair Mazraoui, Mason Mount, Joshua Zirkzee, Tyrell Malacia, Patrick Dorgu, Leny Yoro, Amad Diallo
Injuries
- Liverpool · Mohamed Salah · Thigh Problems · THIGH_PROBLEMS
- Liverpool · Hugo Ekitiké · Achilles tendon rupture · ACHILLES_TENDON_RUPTURE
- Liverpool · Giovanni Leoni · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Liverpool · Conor Bradley · Knee Surgery · KNEE_SURGERY
- Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · Hip Flexor Problems · HIP_FLEXOR_PROBLEMS
- Manchester United · Lisandro Martínez · Red Card Suspension · RED_CARD_SUSPENSION
- Liverpool · Giorgi Mamardashvili · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Liverpool · Wataru Endo · Ankle Ligament Tear · ANKLE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
Why it made the board
CompleteKeep the anchor after lineups. United’s front four is intact, Liverpool lose Salah’s finishing and still carry enough risk in goal and midfield coverage, so the home 0.0 is the cleanest eligible angle rather than chasing a high total.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Tactical Counter: Liverpool still have Wirtz, Szoboszlai and Frimpong to hit the space around United’s Martínez-less back line; the 1.80 may also already bake in too much of Liverpool’s injury news.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 3, 2026, 3:33 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 3, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked