Match detail
Manchester United vs Leeds United
Premier League · 32
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 32
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Old Trafford · Manchester
Referee
—
Live score
1-2
Top event
Both Teams to Score - Yes
Probability
59%
Price
1.75
Initial publish
Apr 12, 2026, 11:39 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 13, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 13, 2026, 8:03 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-2
What shaped the view
- + United should own territory, but Leeds' 3-4-2-1 still gives them transition entries, so the game projects medium-high event rather than a flat control match.
- + Official XIs show United's strongest attacking shape with Bruno, Cunha and Amad behind Sesko, while Leeds still start Aaronson, Okafor and Calvert-Lewin but miss Rodon.
- + BTTS is cleaner than selling the short United side markets: United should score, but their own defensive setup is not fully clean either.
Official lineups
Manchester United
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #31 · Senne Lammens · GOALKEEPER
- #3 · Noussair Mazraoui · DEFENDER
- #15 · Leny Yoro · DEFENDER
- #6 · Lisandro Martínez · DEFENDER
- #23 · Luke Shaw · DEFENDER
- #18 · Casemiro · MIDFIELDER
- #25 · Manuel Ugarte · MIDFIELDER
- #16 · Amad Diallo · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Bruno Fernandes · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Matheus Cunha · MIDFIELDER
- #30 · Benjamin Sesko · ATTACKER
Bench
Altay Bayındır, Diogo Dalot, Mason Mount, Joshua Zirkzee, Tyrell Malacia, Bryan Mbeumo, Ayden Heaven, T. Fletcher
Leeds United
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #26 · Karl Darlow · GOALKEEPER
- #24 · James Justin · DEFENDER
- #15 · Jaka Bijol · DEFENDER
- #5 · Pascal Struijk · DEFENDER
- #2 · Jayden Bogle · MIDFIELDER
- #4 · Ethan Ampadu · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Ao Tanaka · MIDFIELDER
- #3 · Gabriel Gudmundsson · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Brenden Aaronson · ATTACKER
- #19 · Noah Okafor · ATTACKER
- #9 · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · ATTACKER
Bench
Lucas Perri, Sean Longstaff, Joël Piroe, Lukas Nmecha, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Sam Byram, Wilfried Gnonto, Facundo Buonanotte
Injuries
- Manchester United · Harry Maguire · Red Card Suspension · RED_CARD_SUSPENSION
- Manchester United · Matthijs de Ligt · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Manchester United · Patrick Dorgu · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Manchester United · Kobbie Mainoo · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Leeds United · Anton Stach · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Leeds United · Daniel James · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Leeds United · Joe Rodon · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Why it made the board
United's XI has enough craft and penalty-box presence to punish a Leeds back line missing Rodon, while Leeds still carry a live route through Aaronson, Okafor and Calvert-Lewin against a home side with defensive absences and Lammens in goal.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Leeds can flatten into a 5-4-1 and, without Daniel James, lose most of their counter punch; if United also finish efficiently, this can land as a home win to nil.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 12, 2026, 11:39 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 13, 2026, 8:03 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked