Match detail
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace
Premier League · 31
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 31
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Not Started
Venue
Etihad Stadium · Manchester
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top event
Goals Over/Under: Over 3.0
Probability
60%
Price
1.74
Initial publish
May 13, 2026, 8:04 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 13, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 13, 2026, 9:30 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + City should force sustained pressure with title-race urgency, and Palace's 3-4-2-1 still has enough pace and wing threat to keep the game from becoming a pure one-sided training exercise.
- + Official XIs keep the goals case alive: City start Foden, Savinho, Semenyo and Marmoush with Haaland, Doku and Cherki available later, while Palace still field Johnson, Pino and Mateta. Henderson starting makes the safer 3.0 line preferable to the earlier 3.25 anchor.
- + Rejected Manchester City -1.25 as the best side-family alternative: City should control territory, but Rodri is absent from the XI and Palace's transition front three keep the backdoor too live for a margin-based bet.
Official lineups
Manchester City
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #25 · Gianluigi Donnarumma · GOALKEEPER
- #45 · Abdukodir Khusanov · DEFENDER
- #15 · Marc Guéhi · DEFENDER
- #24 · Josko Gvardiol · DEFENDER
- #21 · Rayan Aït-Nouri · DEFENDER
- #27 · Matheus Nunes · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Bernardo Silva · MIDFIELDER
- #26 · Savinho · MIDFIELDER
- #47 · Phil Foden · MIDFIELDER
- #42 · Antoine Semenyo · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Omar Marmoush · ATTACKER
Bench
James Trafford, Rúben Dias, Tijjani Reijnders, John Stones, Nathan Aké, Mateo Kovacic, Erling Haaland, Rayan Cherki
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Dean Henderson · GOALKEEPER
- #23 · Jaydee Canvot · DEFENDER
- #5 · Maxence Lacroix · DEFENDER
- #26 · Chris Richards · DEFENDER
- #2 · Daniel Muñoz · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Jefferson Lerma · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Will Hughes · MIDFIELDER
- #3 · Tyrick Mitchell · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Yéremy Pino · ATTACKER
- #11 · Brennan Johnson · ATTACKER
- #14 · Jean-Philippe Mateta · ATTACKER
Bench
Ismaïla Sarr, Nathaniel Clyne, Daichi Kamada, Adam Wharton, Jørgen Strand Larsen, Chadi Riad, Walter Benítez, Justin Devenny
Injuries
- Crystal Palace · Cheick Doucouré · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Dean Henderson · Ill · ILL
- Crystal Palace · Caleb Kporha · Back Injury · BACK_INJURY
- Manchester City · Mateo Kovacic · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- Manchester City · Josko Gvardiol · Broken Leg · BROKEN_LEG
- Manchester City · Rodri · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Crystal Palace · Borna Sosa · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Evann Guessand · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Manchester City · Rúben Dias · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Crystal Palace · Eddie Nketiah · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Why it made the board
City's lineup still points to chance volume, but the bigger signal is that Palace have kept real counter threat on the pitch against a Rodri-less City midfield. Goals are a cleaner read than asking City to cover a late-season handicap.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Tactical Counter: If Palace fold into a deep 5-4-1 and City are content to manage once ahead, this can die into a controlled 2-0 instead of the looser game the over wants.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 13, 2026, 8:04 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 13, 2026, 9:30 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked