Match detail
Manchester City vs Arsenal
Premier League · 33
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 33
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Etihad Stadium · Manchester
Referee
—
Live score
2-1
Top event
Goals Over/Under - Over 2.0, 2.5
Probability
60%
Price
1.75
Initial publish
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 19, 2026, 5:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 19, 2026, 4:36 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
1-1
What shaped the view
- + City should force territory and wide duels, while Arsenal still have enough transition threat to keep the game open.
- + City start Haaland with Doku, Cherki and Semenyo but a patched back four; Arsenal miss Saka yet still have Eze, Havertz and Madueke with Rice-Zubimendi-Ødegaard behind them.
- + City around even money looks a bit thin against Arsenal's defensive platform, so the reduced over is the cleaner expression.
Official lineups
Manchester City
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #25 · Gianluigi Donnarumma · GOALKEEPER
- #27 · Matheus Nunes · DEFENDER
- #45 · Abdukodir Khusanov · DEFENDER
- #15 · Marc Guéhi · DEFENDER
- #33 · Nico O'Reilly · DEFENDER
- #20 · Bernardo Silva · MIDFIELDER
- #16 · Rodri · MIDFIELDER
- #42 · Antoine Semenyo · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Rayan Cherki · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Jérémy Doku · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Erling Haaland · ATTACKER
Bench
James Trafford, Tijjani Reijnders, John Stones, Nathan Aké, Omar Marmoush, Nico González, Rayan Aït-Nouri, Savinho
Arsenal
Formation: 4-3-3 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · David Raya · GOALKEEPER
- #3 · Cristhian Mosquera · DEFENDER
- #2 · William Saliba · DEFENDER
- #6 · Gabriel Magalhães · DEFENDER
- #5 · Piero Hincapié · DEFENDER
- #8 · Martin Ødegaard · MIDFIELDER
- #36 · Martín Zubimendi · MIDFIELDER
- #41 · Declan Rice · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Noni Madueke · ATTACKER
- #29 · Kai Havertz · ATTACKER
- #10 · Eberechi Eze · ATTACKER
Bench
Ben White, Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Martinelli, Kepa Arrizabalaga, Viktor Gyökeres, Christian Nørgaard, Leandro Trossard, Myles Lewis-Skelly
Injuries
- Manchester City · Rúben Dias · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Manchester City · Josko Gvardiol · Broken Leg · BROKEN_LEG
- Arsenal · Mikel Merino · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Arsenal · Jurriën Timber · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
Why it made the board
City's XI is built to generate chances, but their weakened back line keeps Arsenal live as well. That makes the quarter-line over stronger than forcing a near-even side in a matchup with scoring routes both ways.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Main miss is Arsenal slowing the game through Rice and Zubimendi; secondary risk is good chances not being finished.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 19, 2026, 4:36 PM GMT+2
Score
2-1