Match detail
Mallorca vs Valencia
La Liga · 33
Match summary
vs
La Liga · 33
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Referee
—
Live score
1-1
Top event
Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5
Probability
60%
Price
1.72
Initial publish
Apr 21, 2026, 3:29 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 21, 2026, 7:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 21, 2026, 6:03 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + This sets up as a physical, direct game with crosses and second balls, but not a naturally high-transition match.
- + Mallorca look lighter on natural wing threat with Samú Costa in the line behind Muriqi, while Valencia start Pepelu in defence with Guido Rodríguez and Ugrinic shielding.
- + The side prices are pulling in different directions across the feed, so the full-time under is cleaner than forcing a winner or quarter-ball.
Official lineups
Valencia
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Stole Dimitrievski · GOALKEEPER
- #12 · Thierry Correia · DEFENDER
- #5 · César Tárrega · DEFENDER
- #18 · Pepelu · DEFENDER
- #14 · José Gayà · DEFENDER
- #16 · Diego López · MIDFIELDER
- #23 · Filip Ugrinic · MIDFIELDER
- #2 · Guido Rodríguez · MIDFIELDER
- #17 · Largie Ramazani · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Umar Sadiq · ATTACKER
- #15 · Lucas Beltrán · ATTACKER
Bench
Arnaut Danjuma, Javi Guerra, Hugo Duro, André Almeida, Luis Rioja, Cristian Rivero, Dani Raba, Renzo Saravia
Mallorca
Formation: 4-3-1-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Leo Román · GOALKEEPER
- #23 · Pablo Maffeo · DEFENDER
- #24 · Martin Valjent · DEFENDER
- #5 · Omar Mascarell · DEFENDER
- #22 · Johan Mojica · DEFENDER
- #12 · Samú Costa · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Sergi Darder · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Manu Morlanes · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Pablo Torre · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Vedat Muriqi · ATTACKER
- #11 · Takuma Asano · ATTACKER
Bench
Mateu Morey, Toni Lato, Marash Kumbulla, Antonio Sánchez, Abdón Prats, Jan Virgili, Javi Llabrés, Iván Cuéllar
Injuries
- Mallorca · Iván Cuéllar · Suspended · SUSPENDED
- Mallorca · Zito Luvumbo · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Mallorca · Mateo Joseph · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Mallorca · Antonio Raíllo · Ankle Surgery · ANKLE_SURGERY
- Valencia · Dimitri Foulquier · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Valencia · Eray Cömert · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Valencia · Mouctar Diakhaby · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Valencia · José Copete · Meniscus Tear · MENISCUS_TEAR
- Valencia · Julen Agirrezabala · Meniscus Tear · MENISCUS_TEAR
Why it made the board
Official XIs point more to control than chaos, and the split side market makes the total the cleaner sell. The likely score tree leans 0-0, 1-0 or 1-1 more than a wide-open game.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: If either improvised back line gives away an early goal, the match can loosen quickly and turn into a far more open second half.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 21, 2026, 3:29 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 21, 2026, 6:03 PM GMT+2
Score
1-1