Match detail
Lazio vs Udinese
Serie A · 34
Match summary
vs
Serie A · 34
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Stadio Olimpico · Roma
Referee
—
Live score
3-3
Top event
Goals Over/Under - Under 2.25
Probability
57%
Price
1.85
Initial publish
Apr 27, 2026, 1:41 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 27, 2026, 8:45 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 27, 2026, 7:58 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-1
What shaped the view
- + Udinese’s back-five shape should slow the game down, while Lazio look more likely to probe wide than create constant central chances.
- + Official XIs confirmed: Lazio in a 4-3-3 with Motta starting in goal and Bašić-Patric-Taylor in midfield; Udinese set up in a 3-5-2 with Davis unavailable.
- + Under 2.25 at 1.85 is preferred over the noisy side prices; it gives better protection than BTTS No because two goals still returns a half-win.
Official lineups
Lazio
Formation: 4-3-3 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #40 · Edoardo Motta · GOALKEEPER
- #29 · Manuel Lazzari · DEFENDER
- #13 · Alessio Romagnoli · DEFENDER
- #25 · Oliver Provstgaard · DEFENDER
- #3 · Luca Pellegrini · DEFENDER
- #26 · Toma Bašić · MIDFIELDER
- #4 · Patric · MIDFIELDER
- #24 · Kenneth Taylor · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Matteo Cancellieri · ATTACKER
- #19 · Boulaye Dia · ATTACKER
- #14 · Tijjani Noslin · ATTACKER
Bench
Nicolò Rovella, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Pedro, Nuno Tavares, Gustav Isaksen, Petar Ratkov, Reda Belahyane, Elseid Hysaj
Udinese
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #40 · Maduka Okoye · GOALKEEPER
- #31 · Thomas Kristensen · DEFENDER
- #27 · Christian Kabasele · DEFENDER
- #28 · Oumar Solet · DEFENDER
- #19 · Kingsley Ehizibue · MIDFIELDER
- #24 · Jakub Piotrowski · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Arthur Atta · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Hassane Kamara · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Nicolò Zaniolo · ATTACKER
- #32 · Jurgen Ekkelenkamp · ATTACKER
- #7 · Idrissa Gueye · ATTACKER
Bench
Alessandro Nunziante, Oier Zarraga, Vakoun Bayo, Adam Buksa, Juan Arizala, Branimir Mlacic, Abdoulaye Camara, Lennon Miller
Injuries
- Udinese · Keinan Davis · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Lazio · Danilo Cataldi · Flu · FLU
- Lazio · Mattia Zaccagni · Thigh Problems · THIGH_PROBLEMS
- Lazio · Ivan Provedel · Shoulder Injury · SHOULDER_INJURY
- Lazio · Alessio Furlanetto · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Udinese · Nicolò Bertola · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Udinese · Jordan Zemura · Thigh Muscle Strain · THIGH_MUSCLE_STRAIN
- Lazio · Samuel Gigot · Ankle Surgery · ANKLE_SURGERY
- Udinese · Alessandro Zanoli · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Udinese · Jesper Karlström · Yellow Card Suspension · YELLOW_CARD_SUSPENSION
Why it made the board
Side markets are messy: Lazio are only a soft home favourite with a reshaped spine, while Udinese are compact but not loaded with attacking starters. Under 2.25 is the cleaner match-script angle, covering 0-0, 1-0 and still helping on 1-1 or 2-0.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: If Lazio’s wide 4-3-3 pins Udinese’s wing-backs early, or the low total is an odds trap around Lazio’s keeper/CB changes, the game can open up quickly.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 27, 2026, 1:41 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 27, 2026, 7:58 PM GMT+2
Score
3-3