Match detail
Lazio vs Parma
Serie A · Regular Season - 31
Match summary
vs
Serie A · Regular Season - 31
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Not Started
Venue
Stadio Olimpico · Rome
Referee
M. Marcenaro
Live score
—
Top event
Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5
Probability
58%
Price
1.75
Initial publish
Apr 4, 2026, 8:47 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 4, 2026, 8:45 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 4, 2026, 7:55 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
—
What shaped the view
- + Projects controlled and narrower than open, with reduced natural width and a slower buildup profile.
- + Lazio start Motta in goal and are without Rovella and Zaccagni; Parma go with a narrow 4-3-2-1, missing Almqvist and suspended defender Troilo.
- + Lazio are only slight favourites, but the side markets are less clean than the total given the home absences and Parma's compact away shape.
Official lineups
Lazio
Formation: 4-3-3 · Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Starting XI
- #40 · Edoardo Motta · G
- #77 · Adam Marušić · D
- #25 · Oliver Provstgaard · D
- #13 · Alessio Romagnoli · D
- #17 · Nuno Tavares · D
- #7 · Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · M
- #32 · Danilo Cataldi · M
- #24 · Kenneth Taylor · M
- #18 · Gustav Isaksen · F
- #27 · Daniel Maldini · F
- #9 · Pedro · F
Bench
Toma Bašić, Giacomo Giacomone, Valerio Farcomeni, Reda Belahyane, Manuel Lazzari, Matteo Cancellieri, Boulaye Dia, Elseid Hysaj
Parma
Formation: 4-3-2-1 · Coach: Carlos Cuesta
Starting XI
- #31 · Zion Suzuki · G
- #15 · Enrico Delprato · D
- #39 · Alessandro Circati · D
- #5 · Lautaro Valenti · D
- #14 · Emanuele Valeri · D
- #10 · Adrián Bernabé · M
- #16 · Mandela Keita · M
- #41 · Hans Nicolussi Caviglia · M
- #7 · Gabriel Strefezza · M
- #27 · Sascha Britschgi · M
- #9 · Mateo Pellegrino · F
Bench
Nesta Elphege, Filippo Rinaldi, Marlon Mena, Edoardo Corvi, Nahuel Estévez, Gaetano Oristanio, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Christian Ordoñez
Injuries
- Lazio · S. Gigot · Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury
- Lazio · Patric · Missing Fixture · Inactive
- Lazio · I. Provedel · Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury
- Lazio · N. Rovella · Missing Fixture · Broken collarbone
- Lazio · M. Zaccagni · Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury
- Lazio · T. Basic · Questionable · Muscle Injury
- Lazio · M. Gila · Questionable · Knee Injury
- Parma · P. Almqvist · Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury
- Parma · B. Cremaschi · Missing Fixture · Injury
- Parma · M. Frigan · Missing Fixture · Knee Injury
Why it made the board
Confirmed XIs lean lower-event: Lazio lose control and left-side punch without Rovella and Zaccagni, while Parma's 4-3-2-1 away setup is compact and short on natural width. With the result market muddied by Lazio's absences, Under 2.5 is the cleaner angle.
Main risk
A mistake from Lazio's stand-in keeper or a defensive lapse in Parma's reshuffled back line could force the game open and push it to 2-1.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 4, 2026, 8:47 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 4, 2026, 7:55 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked