Match detail
Inter vs Cagliari
Serie A · 33
Match summary
vs
Serie A · 33
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano
Referee
—
Live score
3-0
Top event
Goals Over/Under: Over 3.0
Probability
60%
Price
1.92
Initial publish
Apr 17, 2026, 6:34 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 17, 2026, 8:45 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 17, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Inter should pin Cagliari's 3-5-2 deep through wing-back width and sustained territorial pressure.
- + Official lineups are now confirmed. The lineup review completed, but the original market was retained because the alternative required a cross-market change.
- + Home win is too short, and the 3.0 total feels noisier than the likely 2+ home-margin script.
Official lineups
Cagliari
Formation: 3-5-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Elia Caprile · GOALKEEPER
- #32 · Zé Pedro · DEFENDER
- #26 · Yerry Mina · DEFENDER
- #15 · Juan Rodríguez · DEFENDER
- #2 · Marco Palestra · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Michel Adopo · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Gianluca Gaetano · MIDFIELDER
- #25 · Ibrahim Sulemana · MIDFIELDER
- #33 · Adam Obert · MIDFIELDER
- #94 · Sebastiano Esposito · ATTACKER
- #29 · Gennaro Borrelli · ATTACKER
Bench
Semih Kılıçsoy, Alen Sherri, Alessandro Deiola, Othniël Raterink, Andrea Belotti, Agustín Albarracín Basil, Alberto Dossena, Giuseppe Ciocci
Inter
Formation: 3-5-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #13 · Josep Martínez · GOALKEEPER
- #25 · Manuel Akanji · DEFENDER
- #6 · Stefan de Vrij · DEFENDER
- #30 · Carlos Augusto · DEFENDER
- #2 · Denzel Dumfries · MIDFIELDER
- #23 · Nicolò Barella · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Hakan Çalhanoğlu · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Henrikh Mkhitaryan · MIDFIELDER
- #32 · Federico Dimarco · MIDFIELDER
- #94 · Pio Esposito · ATTACKER
- #9 · Marcus Thuram · ATTACKER
Bench
Yann Sommer, Piotr Zieliński, Luis Henrique, Raffaele Di Gennaro, Ange-Yoan Bonny, Francesco Acerbi, Davide Frattesi, Andy Diouf
Injuries
- Cagliari · Luca Mazzitelli · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Inter · Yann Bisseck · Thigh Muscle Strain · THIGH_MUSCLE_STRAIN
- Inter · Petar Sučić · Yellow Card Suspension · YELLOW_CARD_SUSPENSION
- Cagliari · Mattia Felici · Cruciate Ligament Injury · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_INJURY
- Cagliari · Leonardo Pavoletti · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Inter · Lautaro Martínez · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Cagliari · Riyad Idrissi · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Inter · Alessandro Bastoni · Thigh Muscle Strain · THIGH_MUSCLE_STRAIN
Why it made the board
Official lineups are now confirmed and the latest odds were re-checked. The lineup review completed, but the evidence was not strong enough to justify replacing this angle with a cross-market alternative, so the original market stayed on the board.
Main risk
Odds Trap: Big-favorite handicap prices can be a trap: Cagliari's compact block can turn clear Inter control into only a 1-0 or 2-1 win.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 17, 2026, 6:34 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 17, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Score
3-0