Match detail

Haiti vs Scotland

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Match summary

Haiti

Scotland

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Initial pick

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Top eventPrice2.00

Asian Handicap: Haiti +1

Probability

55%

Confidence

medium

Confidence

58%

Published

Jun 14, 2026, 1:38 AM GMT+2

Kickoff

Jun 14, 2026, 3:00 AM GMT+2

Last update

Jun 14, 2026, 5:05 AM GMT+2

Result

PUSH

What shaped the view

Likely competitive rather than wide open early, with Scotland controlling more territory and Haiti looking for direct transition moments.
Haiti’s 4-4-2 has real outlet options and attacking bench depth, while Scotland’s XI is stronger overall but not built as a pure blowout profile.
Asian Handicap is preferred over totals because the price gives Haiti +1 at 2.00 with push protection on a one-goal loss; Away -1 at 1.85 needs Scotland to win by 2+ for full payout, which is a thinner ask in a first group match.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Why it made the board

Complete

Haiti are underdogs but the +1 line gives protection against a narrow Scotland win, which fits an opening Group C match where both start on 0 points and neither has a Matchday 3-style need to chase goal difference. Scotland have the stronger unit with Robertson, Hickey, McTominay, Ferguson and McGinn supporting Adams/Shankland, but their 4-4-2 is not an obvious high-margin setup, while Haiti have enough forward presence through Pierrot, Isidor and Don Deedson plus Nazon and Etienne off the bench to keep the match from becoming one-way.

Main risk

Tactical Counter: Scotland’s midfield and fullback quality could pin Haiti back for long spells, and an early goal would expose Haiti’s back four to a two-goal defeat that kills the +1 handicap.

Update timeline