Match detail
Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace
Europa Conference League · Quarter-finals
Match summary
vs
Europa Conference League · Quarter-finals
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Stadio Artemio Franchi · Firenze
Referee
—
Live score
2-1
Top event
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Probability
59%
Price
1.83
Initial publish
Apr 16, 2026, 12:20 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 16, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 16, 2026, 8:10 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
1-1
What shaped the view
- + This should not play like a normal second leg; Fiorentina need to force the pace and Palace have the runners to punish the spaces.
- + Official lineups are now confirmed. The lineup review completed, but the original market was retained because the alternative required a cross-market change.
- + Goals is cleaner than a side here: Palace are still the stronger team by price, but the aggregate state pushes Fiorentina into a higher-risk game.
Official lineups
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-3 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Dean Henderson · GOALKEEPER
- #26 · Chris Richards · DEFENDER
- #5 · Maxence Lacroix · DEFENDER
- #23 · Jaydee Canvot · DEFENDER
- #2 · Daniel Muñoz · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Adam Wharton · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Daichi Kamada · MIDFIELDER
- #3 · Tyrick Mitchell · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Ismaïla Sarr · ATTACKER
- #14 · Jean-Philippe Mateta · ATTACKER
- #10 · Yéremy Pino · ATTACKER
Bench
Jefferson Lerma, Brennan Johnson, Nathaniel Clyne, Will Hughes, Jørgen Strand Larsen, Borna Sosa, Remi Matthews, Chadi Riad
Fiorentina
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #43 · David de Gea · GOALKEEPER
- #5 · Marin Pongracic · DEFENDER
- #15 · Pietro Comuzzo · DEFENDER
- #6 · Luca Ranieri · DEFENDER
- #17 · Jack Harrison · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Rolando Mandragora · MIDFIELDER
- #44 · Nicolò Fagioli · MIDFIELDER
- #21 · Robin Gosens · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Albert Gudmundsson · ATTACKER
- #19 · Manor Solomon · ATTACKER
- #91 · Roberto Piccoli · ATTACKER
Bench
Jacopo Fazzini, Eman Kospo, Cher Ndour, Pietro Leonardelli, Oliver Christensen, Eddy Kouadio, Riccardo Braschi, Luís Balbo
Injuries
- Crystal Palace · Caleb Kporha · Back Injury · BACK_INJURY
- Fiorentina · Fabiano Parisi · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Fiorentina · Dodô · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Fiorentina · Niccolò Fortini · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Cheick Doucouré · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Fiorentina · Marco Brescianini · Adductor Pain · ADDUCTOR_PAIN
- Crystal Palace · Evann Guessand · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Fiorentina · Tariq Lamptey · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Eddie Nketiah · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Why it made the board
Official lineups are now confirmed and the latest odds were re-checked. The lineup review completed, but the evidence was not strong enough to justify replacing this angle with a cross-market alternative, so the original market stayed on the board.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: If Palace drop into game-management mode and Fiorentina’s early pressure lacks end product, the match can stall around 1-0 or 1-1.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 16, 2026, 12:20 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 16, 2026, 8:10 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked