Match detail
FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga · 30
Match summary
vs
Bundesliga · 30
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Allianz Arena · Munich
Referee
—
Live score
4-2
Top event
Asian Handicap: FC Bayern München -1.25
Probability
59%
Price
1.88
Initial publish
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 19, 2026, 5:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 19, 2026, 4:49 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
3-1
What shaped the view
- + Expect Bayern to own territory and chance volume; Stuttgart's striker suspension lowers the need for a shootout script.
- + Official lineups are now confirmed. The lineup review completed, but the original market was retained because the alternative required a cross-market change.
- + Bayern -1.25 is cleaner than the 4.0 goal line, which already prices a very open game.
Official lineups
FC Bayern München
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #40 · Jonas Urbig · GOALKEEPER
- #44 · Josip Stanisic · DEFENDER
- #3 · Min-jae Kim · DEFENDER
- #21 · Hiroki Ito · DEFENDER
- #19 · Alphonso Davies · DEFENDER
- #6 · Joshua Kimmich · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Leon Goretzka · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Raphaël Guerreiro · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Jamal Musiala · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Luis Díaz · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Nicolas Jackson · ATTACKER
Bench
Manuel Neuer, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Harry Kane, Michael Olise, Konrad Laimer, Deniz Ofli, Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
VfB Stuttgart
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #33 · Alexander Nübel · GOALKEEPER
- #4 · Josha Vagnoman · DEFENDER
- #29 · Finn Jeltsch · DEFENDER
- #24 · Jeff Chabot · DEFENDER
- #3 · Ramon Hendriks · DEFENDER
- #16 · Atakan Karazor · MIDFIELDER
- #6 · Angelo Stiller · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Bilal El Khannouss · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Chris Führich · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Jamie Leweling · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Tiago Tomás · ATTACKER
Bench
Fabian Bredlow, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Ermedin Demirovic, Luca Jaquez, Lorenz Assignon, Dan-Axel Zagadou, Badredine Bouanani, Nikolas Nartey
Injuries
- VfB Stuttgart · Justin Diehl · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- VfB Stuttgart · Lazar Jovanovic · Back Injury · BACK_INJURY
- FC Bayern München · Leon Klanac · Hamstring Injury · HAMSTRING_INJURY
- FC Bayern München · Cassiano Kiala · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- FC Bayern München · David Santos Daiber · Thigh Muscle Strain · THIGH_MUSCLE_STRAIN
- FC Bayern München · Wisdom Mike · Hip Injury · HIP_INJURY
- FC Bayern München · Lennart Karl · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · Yellow Card Suspension · YELLOW_CARD_SUSPENSION
- VfB Stuttgart · Mirza Catovic · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
- FC Bayern München · Tom Bischof · Calf Injury · CALF_INJURY
Why it made the board
Official lineups are now confirmed and the latest odds were re-checked. The lineup review completed, but the evidence was not strong enough to justify replacing this angle with a cross-market alternative, so the original market stayed on the board.
Main risk
Odds Trap: The obvious-favorite tax is Bayern dominating without fully separating, with a 1-0 or 2-1 win the cleanest way this misses.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 19, 2026, 4:49 PM GMT+2
Score
4-2