Match detail
Everton vs Manchester City
Premier League · 35
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 35
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Referee
—
Live score
3-3
Top event
Asian Handicap: Manchester City -1.25
Probability
54%
Price
2.02
Initial publish
May 4, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 4, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 4, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-1
What shaped the view
- + City should own territory in a title-race spot, with Everton likely deeper and looking for Beto outlets, second balls and set pieces.
- + Official XIs support the City direction: Haaland starts with Doku, Cherki and Semenyo behind him, while Everton are without Branthwaite and go with Tarkowski-Keane at centre-back. City do miss Rodri, Dias and Gvardiol, so the handicap is not risk-free.
- + Side-family preferred: the anchor direction is kept at the fresh main line. Over 3.0 is live, but not clearly 2-3 points cleaner because Everton’s goal route looks more set-piece/direct than sustained chance volume.
Official lineups
Manchester City
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #25 · Gianluigi Donnarumma · GOALKEEPER
- #27 · Matheus Nunes · DEFENDER
- #45 · Abdukodir Khusanov · DEFENDER
- #15 · Marc Guéhi · DEFENDER
- #33 · Nico O'Reilly · DEFENDER
- #14 · Nico González · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Bernardo Silva · MIDFIELDER
- #42 · Antoine Semenyo · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Rayan Cherki · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Jérémy Doku · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Erling Haaland · ATTACKER
Bench
James Trafford, Tijjani Reijnders, John Stones, Nathan Aké, Omar Marmoush, Mateo Kovacic, Rayan Aït-Nouri, Savinho
Everton
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Jordan Pickford · GOALKEEPER
- #15 · Jake O'Brien · DEFENDER
- #6 · James Tarkowski · DEFENDER
- #5 · Michael Keane · DEFENDER
- #16 · Vitaliy Mykolenko · DEFENDER
- #42 · Tim Iroegbunam · MIDFIELDER
- #37 · James Garner · MIDFIELDER
- #34 · Merlin Röhl · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Iliman Ndiaye · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Beto · ATTACKER
Bench
Nathan Patterson, Dwight McNeil, Thierno Barry, Mark Travers, Tyrique George, Tyler Dibling, Séamus Coleman, Carlos Alcaraz
Injuries
- Manchester City · Josko Gvardiol · Broken Leg · BROKEN_LEG
- Manchester City · Rodri · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Everton · Jack Grealish · Broken Foot · BROKEN_FOOT
- Manchester City · Rúben Dias · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Everton · Jarrad Branthwaite · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Everton · Idrissa Gueye · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
Why it made the board
City’s official XI has enough final-third punch to keep pressure on an Everton back line missing Branthwaite. The move to -1.25 is tougher, but at 2.02 the title-race motivation and attacking mismatch still make the margin angle more sellable than the 3.0 goals line.
Main risk
Odds Trap: Odds Trap: the public City/title-race angle may have stretched the handicap, and Everton’s low block plus set-piece route can turn City control into only a one-goal win.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 4, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 4, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Score
3-3