Match detail
Crystal Palace vs Everton
Premier League · 36
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 36
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Selhurst Park · London
Referee
—
Live score
2-2
Top event
Asian Handicap: Crystal Palace 0.0
Probability
55%
Price
2.02
Initial publish
May 10, 2026, 2:38 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 10, 2026, 3:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 10, 2026, 6:39 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
1-1
What shaped the view
- + Palace should carry more territory from the 3-4-2-1, but Everton's 4-2-3-1 still has direct counter outlets through Ndiaye and Beto, so this reads controlled-to-moderate rather than wide open.
- + Official XIs support the home-side lean: Palace keep Muñoz, Wharton, Johnson, Sarr and Strand Larsen, while Everton lose Branthwaite and start Keane in the back four.
- + Best total alternative was Over 2.5, but it still needs Everton to fully engage; Under 2.5 fights Palace's wing-back pressure and Everton's weaker centre-back setup. Palace 0.0 is the cleaner expression.
Official lineups
Everton
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Jordan Pickford · GOALKEEPER
- #15 · Jake O'Brien · DEFENDER
- #6 · James Tarkowski · DEFENDER
- #5 · Michael Keane · DEFENDER
- #16 · Vitaliy Mykolenko · DEFENDER
- #42 · Tim Iroegbunam · MIDFIELDER
- #37 · James Garner · MIDFIELDER
- #34 · Merlin Röhl · MIDFIELDER
- #22 · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Iliman Ndiaye · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Beto · ATTACKER
Bench
Nathan Patterson, Dwight McNeil, Thierno Barry, Mark Travers, Tyrique George, Tyler Dibling, Séamus Coleman, Carlos Alcaraz
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Dean Henderson · GOALKEEPER
- #26 · Chris Richards · DEFENDER
- #5 · Maxence Lacroix · DEFENDER
- #23 · Jaydee Canvot · DEFENDER
- #2 · Daniel Muñoz · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Adam Wharton · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Daichi Kamada · MIDFIELDER
- #3 · Tyrick Mitchell · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Ismaïla Sarr · ATTACKER
- #11 · Brennan Johnson · ATTACKER
- #22 · Jørgen Strand Larsen · ATTACKER
Bench
Jefferson Lerma, Yéremy Pino, Jean-Philippe Mateta, Nathaniel Clyne, Will Hughes, Chadi Riad, Walter Benítez, Justin Devenny
Injuries
- Everton · Jarrad Branthwaite · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Borna Sosa · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Cheick Doucouré · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Everton · Idrissa Gueye · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Caleb Kporha · Back Injury · BACK_INJURY
- Everton · Jack Grealish · Foot surgery · FOOT_SURGERY
- Crystal Palace · Eddie Nketiah · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Crystal Palace · Evann Guessand · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
Why it made the board
Palace's XI keeps real width and pace, and Everton arrive in a dead-rubber spot without Branthwaite, forcing Keane into the back four. Home 0.0 is the cleanest way to back Palace's control edge without needing a high-event match.
Main risk
Everton can still hurt the space behind Palace's wing-backs through Ndiaye and Beto, and if Palace's motivation edge is softer than expected this can easily flatten into a draw or away smash-and-grab.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 10, 2026, 2:38 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 10, 2026, 6:39 PM GMT+2
Score
2-2