Match detail
Como vs Napoli
Serie A · 35
Match summary
vs
Serie A · 35
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top event
Goals Over/Under: Over 2.25
Probability
56%
Price
1.92
Initial publish
May 2, 2026, 5:57 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 2, 2026, 6:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 2, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Both shapes can create wide-transition moments, and the 2.25 line is a cleaner expression than forcing a side.
- + Official XIs lean attacking: Como have Diao, Nico Paz and Baturina behind Douvikas; Napoli still start De Bruyne, Højlund and Alisson with Politano/Miguel as wing-backs, despite Lukaku and Neres being out.
- + Selection: Over 2.25 at 1.92. The Asian Handicap is too split, with Como -0.25 and Napoli +0.25 both carrying clear side-risk.
Official lineups
Como
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Jean Butez · GOALKEEPER
- #28 · Ivan Smolcic · DEFENDER
- #14 · Jacobo Ramón · DEFENDER
- #34 · Diego Carlos · DEFENDER
- #3 · Álex Valle · DEFENDER
- #23 · Máximo Perrone · MIDFIELDER
- #33 · Lucas Da Cunha · MIDFIELDER
- #38 · Assane Diao · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Nico Paz · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Martin Baturina · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Anastasios Douvikas · ATTACKER
Bench
Marc Oliver Kempf, Edoardo Goldaniga, Maxence Caqueret, Álvaro Morata, Sergi Roberto, Adrian Lahdo, Jesús Rodríguez, Alberto Moreno
Napoli
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #32 · Vanja Milinković-Savić · GOALKEEPER
- #31 · Sam Beukema · DEFENDER
- #13 · Amir Rrahmani · DEFENDER
- #4 · Alessandro Buongiorno · DEFENDER
- #21 · Matteo Politano · MIDFIELDER
- #68 · Stanislav Lobotka · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Scott McTominay · MIDFIELDER
- #3 · Miguel Gutiérrez · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Kevin De Bruyne · ATTACKER
- #27 · Alisson Santos · ATTACKER
- #19 · Rasmus Højlund · ATTACKER
Bench
Alex Meret, Billy Gilmour, Nikita Contini, Eljif Elmas, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Giovane, Pasquale Mazzocchi, Leonardo Spinazzola
Injuries
- Napoli · David Neres · Ankle Surgery · ANKLE_SURGERY
- Napoli · Romelu Lukaku · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Como · Jayden Addai · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Napoli · Antonio Vergara · Foot Injury · FOOT_INJURY
Why it made the board
Over 2.25 is the cleanest angle: neither handicap side has a strong enough post-lineup case, while both official XIs put enough creators and width on the pitch for chances at both ends.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Main failures are Napoli’s back three and Lobotka slowing the match down, or the Lukaku/Neres absences showing up in final-third efficiency.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 2, 2026, 5:57 AM GMT+2
Revision time
May 2, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Score
0-0