Match detail
Celta de Vigo vs Real Oviedo
La Liga · 31
Match summary
vs
La Liga · 31
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Estadio de Balaídos · Vigo
Referee
—
Live score
0-3
Top event
Match Winner / 1X2 - Celta de Vigo
Probability
59%
Price
1.72
Initial publish
Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 12, 2026, 6:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 12, 2026, 5:35 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-2
What shaped the view
- + The prices point to a moderate-event match, which suits a controlled home result more than a wide-open game.
- + Official lineups are now confirmed. The lineup review completed, but the original market was retained because the alternative required a cross-market change.
- + 1X2 is cleaner than stretching to Celta -0.75 at 2.00 or forcing the near-even goal lines.
Polymarket reference
Main pick price
1.72
Polymarket reference
Higher · 2000.00
Market delta
+1998.28
Official lineups
Celta de Vigo
Formation: 3-4-3 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #13 · Ionuț Radu · GOALKEEPER
- #14 · Álvaro Núñez · DEFENDER
- #4 · Joseph Aidoo · DEFENDER
- #20 · Marcos Alonso · DEFENDER
- #17 · Javi Rueda · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Fer López · MIDFIELDER
- #15 · Matías Vecino · MIDFIELDER
- #5 · Sergio Carreira · MIDFIELDER
- #36 · Andrés Antañón · ATTACKER
- #18 · Pablo Durán · ATTACKER
- #19 · Williot Swedberg · ATTACKER
Bench
Iván Villar, Óscar Mingueza, Ilaix Moriba, Borja Iglesias, Ferran Jutglà, Iago Aspas, Franco Cervi, Manu Fernández
Real Oviedo
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #13 · Aarón Escandell · GOALKEEPER
- #22 · Nacho Vidal · DEFENDER
- #2 · Eric Bailly · DEFENDER
- #12 · Dani Calvo · DEFENDER
- #25 · Javi López · DEFENDER
- #6 · Kwasi Sibo · MIDFIELDER
- #23 · Nicolás Fonseca · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Ilyas Chaira · MIDFIELDER
- #5 · Alberto Reina · MIDFIELDER
- #15 · Thiago Fernández · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Federico Viñas · ATTACKER
Bench
Horațiu Moldovan, Rahim Alhassane, David Costas, Santi Cazorla, Haissem Hassan, Santiago Colombatto, Ovie Ejaria, David Carmo
Injuries
- Celta de Vigo · Miguel Román · Metatarsal Fracture · METATARSAL_FRACTURE
- Celta de Vigo · Fer López · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Celta de Vigo · Óscar Mingueza · Suspended · SUSPENDED
Why it made the board
Fresh odds still keep Celta clear home favorites despite three listed absences, while BTTS and totals sit close to even. With no XI yet, the straight home win is the cleanest side angle.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Main risk is Oviedo sitting deep and dragging this toward a draw; at 1.72 the home side is also priced close enough to fair that there is not much room for error.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 12, 2026, 5:35 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked