Match detail
Cagliari vs Atalanta
Serie A · 34
Match summary
vs
Serie A · 34
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Sardegna Arena · Cagliari
Referee
—
Live score
3-2
Top event
Match Winner / 1X2 - Atalanta
Probability
60%
Price
1.75
Initial publish
Apr 27, 2026, 1:41 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 27, 2026, 6:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 27, 2026, 5:57 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
2-2
What shaped the view
- + Atalanta should carry the cleaner territory through Bellanova and Zappacosta, but Cagliari’s 4-2-3-1 can still make it a lower-margin game.
- + Official lineups confirmed; Atalanta start Scamacca, Raspadori and De Ketelaere, while Cagliari are missing Mazzitelli and Pavoletti is not in the XI.
- + Atalanta 1X2 at 1.75 clears the band; prefer the straight win over stretching to -0.75 because a one-goal away win still pays fully.
Polymarket reference
Main pick price
1.75
Polymarket reference
Higher · 2000.00
Market delta
+1998.25
Official lineups
Cagliari
Formation: 5-3-2 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Elia Caprile · GOALKEEPER
- #8 · Michel Adopo · DEFENDER
- #32 · Zé Pedro · DEFENDER
- #26 · Yerry Mina · DEFENDER
- #15 · Juan Rodríguez · DEFENDER
- #33 · Adam Obert · DEFENDER
- #10 · Gianluca Gaetano · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Alessandro Deiola · MIDFIELDER
- #90 · Michael Folorunsho · MIDFIELDER
- #94 · Sebastiano Esposito · ATTACKER
- #31 · Paul Mendy · ATTACKER
Bench
Marco Palestra, Semih Kılıçsoy, Alen Sherri, Othniël Raterink, Andrea Belotti, Agustín Albarracín Basil, Alberto Dossena, Giuseppe Ciocci
Atalanta
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #29 · Marco Carnesecchi · GOALKEEPER
- #42 · Giorgio Scalvini · DEFENDER
- #19 · Berat Djimsiti · DEFENDER
- #23 · Sead Kolasinac · DEFENDER
- #16 · Raoul Bellanova · MIDFIELDER
- #15 · Marten de Roon · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Mario Pašalić · MIDFIELDER
- #77 · Davide Zappacosta · MIDFIELDER
- #17 · Charles De Ketelaere · ATTACKER
- #18 · Giacomo Raspadori · ATTACKER
- #9 · Gianluca Scamacca · ATTACKER
Bench
Odilon Kossounou, Isak Hien, Mitchel Bakker, Yunus Musah, Kamaldeen Sulemana, Lazar Samardžić, Éderson, Relja Obric
Injuries
- Cagliari · Riyad Idrissi · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Atalanta · Kamaldeen Sulemana · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Cagliari · Leonardo Pavoletti · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Cagliari · Mattia Felici · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Cagliari · Luca Mazzitelli · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Atalanta · Francesco Rossi · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Atalanta · Lorenzo Bernasconi · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Cagliari · Juan Rodríguez · Called Up To National Team · CALLED_UP_TO_NATIONAL_TEAM
Why it made the board
Official XIs give Atalanta the cleaner win route: Scamacca with Raspadori/De Ketelaere behind and strong wing-back width against a Cagliari side lightened in midfield. Side market is clearer than the split totals board.
Main risk
Odds Trap: The obvious away-favourite price can be fully sold if Cagliari stay compact, slow Atalanta’s wing-back supply and drag this toward a draw.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 27, 2026, 1:41 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 27, 2026, 5:57 PM GMT+2
Score
3-2