Match detail
Burnley vs Manchester City
Premier League · 34
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 34
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Turf Moor · Burnley
Referee
—
Live score
0-1
Top event
Both Teams to Score: No
Probability
59%
Price
1.75
Initial publish
Apr 22, 2026, 7:00 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 22, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 22, 2026, 8:36 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-1
What shaped the view
- + Expected City control and territory, with Burnley more likely to rely on sparse counters or set pieces than sustained pressure.
- + Official lineups are now confirmed. The lineup review completed, but the original market was retained because the alternative required a cross-market change.
- + The usable City side prices all demand a big away margin. BTTS No is the cleaner expression above the 1.70 floor.
Official lineups
Manchester City
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #25 · Gianluigi Donnarumma · GOALKEEPER
- #27 · Matheus Nunes · DEFENDER
- #45 · Abdukodir Khusanov · DEFENDER
- #15 · Marc Guéhi · DEFENDER
- #21 · Rayan Aït-Nouri · DEFENDER
- #20 · Bernardo Silva · MIDFIELDER
- #33 · Nico O'Reilly · MIDFIELDER
- #42 · Antoine Semenyo · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Rayan Cherki · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Jérémy Doku · MIDFIELDER
- #9 · Erling Haaland · ATTACKER
Bench
James Trafford, Tijjani Reijnders, John Stones, Nathan Aké, Omar Marmoush, Mateo Kovacic, Nico González, Savinho
Burnley
Formation: 5-4-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Martin Dúbravka · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Kyle Walker · DEFENDER
- #12 · Bashir Humphreys · DEFENDER
- #18 · Hjalmar Ekdal · DEFENDER
- #5 · Maxime Estève · DEFENDER
- #3 · Quilindschy Hartman · DEFENDER
- #17 · Loum Tchaouna · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · James Ward-Prowse · MIDFIELDER
- #29 · Josh Laurent · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Jaidon Anthony · MIDFIELDER
- #19 · Zian Flemming · ATTACKER
Bench
Joe Worrall, Lesley Ugochukwu, Lyle Foster, Marcus Edwards, Max Weiß, Florentino, Lucas Pires, Armando Broja
Injuries
- Burnley · Connor Roberts · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Burnley · Hannibal · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Burnley · Jordan Beyer · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Burnley · Zeki Amdouni · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Manchester City · Josko Gvardiol · Broken Leg · BROKEN_LEG
- Manchester City · Rúben Dias · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Burnley · Josh Cullen · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Burnley · Axel Tuanzebe · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Manchester City · Rodri · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Why it made the board
Official lineups are now confirmed and the latest odds were re-checked. The lineup review completed, but the evidence was not strong enough to justify replacing this angle with a cross-market alternative, so the original market stayed on the board.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: The main failure mode is Burnley nicking one from a direct ball or set piece while City deal with the Dias and Gvardiol absences.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 22, 2026, 7:00 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 22, 2026, 8:36 PM GMT+2
Score
0-1