Match detail

Brazil vs Morocco

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Match summary

Brazil

Morocco

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Initial pick

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Top eventPrice1.85

Asian Handicap: Brazil -0.75

Probability

57%

Confidence

medium

Confidence

58%

Published

Jun 13, 2026, 10:54 PM GMT+2

Kickoff

Jun 14, 2026, 12:00 AM GMT+2

Last update

Jun 14, 2026, 2:09 AM GMT+2

Result

LOSS

What shaped the view

Likely controlled early rather than frantic, but Brazil’s width and substitutions can raise second-half pressure if Morocco sit compact.
Brazil’s spine is stronger from goalkeeper through double pivot, while Morocco’s XI has creativity but less starting defensive-midfield security with Amrabat held in reserve.
Asian Handicap is preferred over totals because the clearest edge is Brazil’s regulation-time win pressure and late bench advantage rather than a strong goal-count stance.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Why it made the board

Complete

Brazil have the cleaner starting XI balance for a Matchday 1 group opener: Alisson behind Marquinhos and Gabriel, Casemiro-Bruno Guimarães protection, and wide threat from Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha around Paquetá. Morocco are well organised and dangerous through Hakimi, Mazraoui, Brahim Díaz and Ounahi, but Amrabat starting on the bench reduces their initial midfield ball-winning presence. With both teams on 0 points, neither benefits from settling early for a draw, but Brazil’s bench attackers give them the better late win equity if the match is level.

Main risk

Tactical Counter: Morocco’s technical midfield and attacking fullbacks can create transition counters, and Brazil -0.75 still loses on a draw while only half-wins on a one-goal victory.

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