Match detail

Brazil vs Haiti

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Match summary

Brazil

Haiti

World Cup 2026 · group_stage

Initial pick

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Top eventPrice2.00

Asian Handicap: Haiti +2.5

Probability

53%

Confidence

medium

Confidence

58%

Published

Jun 20, 2026, 1:36 AM GMT+2

Kickoff

Jun 20, 2026, 2:30 AM GMT+2

Last update

Jun 20, 2026, 5:51 PM GMT+2

Result

LOSS

What shaped the view

Brazil need the win after opening with 1 point, but this is still Matchday 2 context: four points would put qualification in strong shape, so game control after a lead is more likely than constant risk-taking unless goal difference becomes easy late.
Brazil start a strong 4-2-3-1 with Vinícius Júnior, Raphinha, Paquetá and Matheus Cunha, plus late attacking bench depth, but Haiti’s 5-4-1 is built to protect the box with five defenders and four midfielders ahead of Placide.
Away +2.5 at 2.00 prices a three-goal Brazil win as too likely; Home -2.5 at 1.85 needs Brazil to clear a full three-goal margin with no push, which is a demanding settlement against a deep 5-4-1.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Why it made the board

Complete

Haiti’s structure and incentive point toward damage limitation first, while Brazil’s double pivot and strong defense reduce the chance of an open, end-to-end game. Brazil are clearly superior, but Away +2.5 covers any Haiti draw/loss by one or two, and the supplied price gives better value than asking Brazil to win by 3+ in regulation.

Main risk

Tactical Counter: Brazil’s attacking bench can raise late pressure if Haiti tire or concede early; a first-half Brazil goal would expose the handicap to a second-half chase for goal difference.

Update timeline