Match detail
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga · 33
Match summary
vs
Bundesliga · 33
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
Signal Iduna Park · Dortmund
Referee
—
Live score
3-2
Top event
Asian Handicap: Borussia Dortmund -0.5
Probability
60%
Price
1.73
Initial publish
May 8, 2026, 7:53 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 8, 2026, 8:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 8, 2026, 8:46 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
2-1
What shaped the view
- + Dortmund should drive territory and volume, while Frankfurt's best route is transition through their attacking band rather than long spells of control.
- + Official XIs keep Dortmund's Guirassy/Brandt core intact, but Reggiani and Inácio starting plus Can/Bensebaini out make this a smaller side play rather than a bigger handicap.
- + Kept the revision anchor at -0.5; -0.75/-1 need cleaner defensive certainty, and Over 3.25 still asks Frankfurt to help create a 4-goal game.
Official lineups
Borussia Dortmund
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Gregor Kobel · GOALKEEPER
- #49 · Luca Reggiani · DEFENDER
- #3 · Waldemar Anton · DEFENDER
- #4 · Nico Schlotterbeck · DEFENDER
- #26 · Julian Ryerson · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Marcel Sabitzer · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · Jobe Bellingham · MIDFIELDER
- #14 · Maximilian Beier · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Julian Brandt · ATTACKER
- #40 · Samuele Inácio · ATTACKER
- #9 · Serhou Guirassy · ATTACKER
Bench
Yan Couto, Salih Özcan, Felix Nmecha, Carney Chukwuemeka, Fábio Silva, Daniel Svensson, Niklas Süle, Karim Adeyemi
Eintracht Frankfurt
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #23 · Michael Zetterer · GOALKEEPER
- #5 · Aurèle Amenda · DEFENDER
- #4 · Robin Koch · DEFENDER
- #3 · Arthur Theate · DEFENDER
- #21 · Nathaniel Brown · DEFENDER
- #15 · Ellyes Skhiri · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Mahmoud Dahoud · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Ritsu Doan · MIDFIELDER
- #42 · Can Uzun · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Farès Chaïbi · MIDFIELDER
- #25 · Arnaud Kalimuendo · ATTACKER
Bench
Oscar Højlund, Ansgar Knauff, Jonathan Burkardt, Hugo Larsson, Jean-Mattéo Bahoya, Timothy Chandler, Mario Götze, Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab
Injuries
- Eintracht Frankfurt · Rasmus Kristensen · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Eintracht Frankfurt · Jens Grahl · Thigh Muscle Strain · THIGH_MUSCLE_STRAIN
- Borussia Dortmund · Ramy Bensebaini · Foot Injury · FOOT_INJURY
- Borussia Dortmund · Emre Can · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Eintracht Frankfurt · Nnamdi Collins · Ankle Injury · ANKLE_INJURY
Why it made the board
The lineups still support the original read: Dortmund have the stronger need-state and enough attacking spine at home, while Frankfurt's XI is competitive enough that the cleanest sell is simply backing the home win rather than stretching the line or forcing a goals bet.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Frankfurt's mobile attacking line can punish the space behind Dortmund's wing-backs and changed back line, so a game Dortmund control territorially can still finish level.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 8, 2026, 7:53 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 8, 2026, 8:46 PM GMT+2
Score
3-2