Match detail

Bayern München vs Atalanta

UEFA Champions League · Round of 16

Match summary

Bayern München

Atalanta

UEFA Champions League · Round of 16

Initial pick

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Top eventPrice1.85

Under 3.5 Goals

Probability

58%

Confidence

medium

Confidence

58%

Published

Mar 18, 2026, 6:58 PM GMT+1

Kickoff

Mar 18, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+1

Last update

Mar 18, 2026, 8:08 PM GMT+1

Result

PENDING

What shaped the view

Bayern should see more of the ball, though the game shape looks more scrappy than relentless and fits a 1-1, 2-0 or 2-1 range.
Bayern start Urbig and Bischof, and they are without Kimmich, Musiala and Olise; Atalanta keep their back three and a dangerous front line.
The total is still set like a standard Bayern home game, but this XI has less control and less clean chance creation.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Why it made the board

Complete

Bayern’s official XI is missing too much of its usual control and creativity to blindly buy a four-goal game. Atalanta’s 3-4-2-1 should stay compact enough to stop this turning into a routine shootout.

Main risk

An early error around Urbig or Bayern’s makeshift left side could open the game up quickly and kill the under.

Update timeline

Current version

Initial pick

Published

Mar 18, 2026, 6:58 PM GMT+1

Last update

Mar 18, 2026, 8:08 PM GMT+1

Score

Locked

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