Match detail
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg
Bundesliga · 30
Match summary
vs
Bundesliga · 30
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Full Time
Venue
BayArena · Leverkusen
Referee
—
Live score
1-2
Top event
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.5
Probability
59%
Price
1.90
Initial publish
Apr 18, 2026, 12:07 AM GMT+2
Kickoff
Apr 18, 2026, 3:30 PM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 18, 2026, 2:50 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
1-1
What shaped the view
- + Leverkusen should control territory and crossing volume, with Augsburg more likely to defend deep than trade attacks.
- + Official lineups are now confirmed. The lineup review completed, but the original market was retained because the alternative required a cross-market change.
- + Home 1X2 is below the target band, and -1.25 is the cleanest way to express the gap without reaching for a harsher line.
Official lineups
FC Augsburg
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Finn Dahmen · GOALKEEPER
- #34 · Arthur Chaves · DEFENDER
- #6 · Jeffrey Gouweleeuw · DEFENDER
- #16 · Cédric Zesiger · DEFENDER
- #19 · Robin Fellhauer · MIDFIELDER
- #4 · Han-Noah Massengo · MIDFIELDER
- #32 · Fabian Rieder · MIDFIELDER
- #13 · Dimitrios Giannoulis · MIDFIELDER
- #30 · Anton Kade · ATTACKER
- #20 · Alexis Claude-Maurice · ATTACKER
- #21 · Rodrigo Ribeiro · ATTACKER
Bench
Mads Pedersen, Elvis Rexhbecaj, Ismaël Gharbi, Nediljko Labrovic, Marius Wolf, Keven Schlotterbeck, Mert Kömür, Uchenna Ogundu
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Mark Flekken · GOALKEEPER
- #4 · Jarell Quansah · DEFENDER
- #5 · Loïc Badé · DEFENDER
- #12 · Edmond Tapsoba · DEFENDER
- #21 · Lucas Vázquez · MIDFIELDER
- #25 · Exequiel Palacios · MIDFIELDER
- #24 · Aleix García · MIDFIELDER
- #20 · Alejandro Grimaldo · MIDFIELDER
- #30 · Ibrahim Maza · ATTACKER
- #23 · Nathan Tella · ATTACKER
- #14 · Patrik Schick · ATTACKER
Bench
Jonas Hofmann, Robert Andrich, Malik Tillman, Tim Oermann, Eliesse Ben Seghir, Ernest Poku, Janis Blaswich, Christian Kofane
Injuries
- FC Augsburg · Michael Gregoritsch · Ill · ILL
- FC Augsburg · Chrislain Matsima · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- FC Augsburg · Yannik Keitel · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Arthur · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- FC Augsburg · Thomas Kastanaras · Knee Surgery · KNEE_SURGERY
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Martin Terrier · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Why it made the board
Official lineups are now confirmed and the latest odds were re-checked. The lineup review completed, but the evidence was not strong enough to justify replacing this angle with a cross-market alternative, so the original market stayed on the board.
Main risk
Odds Trap: Augsburg can keep it compact enough for a 1-0 or 2-1 home win, which makes this handicap look a touch too ambitious.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
Apr 18, 2026, 12:07 AM GMT+2
Revision time
Apr 18, 2026, 2:50 PM GMT+2
Score
1-2