Match detail
Athletic Club vs Valencia
La Liga · 35
Match summary
vs
La Liga · 35
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Not Started
Venue
San Mamés Barria · Bilbao
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top eventPrice1.84
Goals Over/Under: Under 2.5
Probability
60%
Confidence
medium
Confidence
60%Initial publish
May 10, 2026, 3:20 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 10, 2026, 4:15 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 10, 2026, 9:03 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- Expect Athletic to have more territory and Valencia to protect space first under survival pressure, so the game looks more controlled than end-to-end unless an early goal breaks it.
- Official XIs support a lower-event script: Valencia are in a compact 4-4-1-1 with Pepelu and Guido screening, while Athletic start without Iñaki Williams and use a lighter Jauregizar-Rego midfield pair.
- The revision anchor Valencia +0.75 is still live, but the lineups make 1-0 or 2-0 Athletic more plausible than a Valencia result; under is the cleaner way to capture the same tight-game read without needing the away side to stay inside the handicap.
Official lineups
Valencia
Formation: 4-4-1-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Stole Dimitrievski · GOALKEEPER
- #20 · Renzo Saravia · DEFENDER
- #24 · Eray Cömert · DEFENDER
- #5 · César Tárrega · DEFENDER
- #14 · José Gayà · DEFENDER
- #11 · Luis Rioja · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Pepelu · MIDFIELDER
- #2 · Guido Rodríguez · MIDFIELDER
- #16 · Diego López · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Javi Guerra · ATTACKER
- #9 · Hugo Duro · ATTACKER
Bench
Unai Núñez, Umar Sadiq, Arnaut Danjuma, André Almeida, Cristian Rivero, Largie Ramazani, Dani Raba, Jesús Vázquez
Athletic Club
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #1 · Unai Simón · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Andoni Gorosabel · DEFENDER
- #5 · Yeray Álvarez · DEFENDER
- #14 · Aymeric Laporte · DEFENDER
- #17 · Yuri Berchiche · DEFENDER
- #18 · Mikel Jauregizar · MIDFIELDER
- #30 · Alejandro Rego · MIDFIELDER
- #23 · Robert Navarro · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Oihan Sancet · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Nico Williams · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Gorka Guruzeta · ATTACKER
Bench
Dani Vivian, Aitor Paredes, Mikel Vesga, Álex Berenguer, Iñaki Williams, Jesús Areso, Iñigo Lekue, Adama Boiro
Injuries
- Valencia · Julen Agirrezabala · Meniscus Tear · MENISCUS_TEAR
- Valencia · Eray Cömert · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Valencia · Mouctar Diakhaby · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Valencia · Dimitri Foulquier · Knee Injury · KNEE_INJURY
- Valencia · José Copete · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Valencia · Thierry Correia · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Athletic Club · Beñat Prados · Cruciate Ligament Tear · CRUCIATE_LIGAMENT_TEAR
- Athletic Club · Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
Why it made the board
CompleteValencia’s official 4-4-1-1 and double pivot point to a compact survival setup, while Athletic’s XI looks more controlling than explosive; that makes a 1-0 or 2-0 type match more likely than an open exchange.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: If the first goal comes early, Valencia have enough bench attackers to chase and Athletic’s wide threats can turn it into a stretched 2-1 or 3-0 game.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 10, 2026, 3:20 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 10, 2026, 9:03 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked