Match detail
Aston Villa vs Liverpool
Premier League · 37
Match summary
vs
Premier League · 37
Lineup revision status
CompleteLineup-based prediction complete
The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.
Current version
Lineup revisionRe-run after the official lineups were posted.
Status
Not Started
Venue
Villa Park · Birmingham
Referee
—
Live score
0-0
Top event
Asian Handicap: Aston Villa +0.25
Probability
62%
Price
1.73
Initial publish
May 15, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Kickoff
May 15, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 15, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Halftime score
0-0
What shaped the view
- + Expect a controlled opening with both teams level on points, then more volatility after the hour if the benches are used aggressively.
- + Official XIs strengthen the home read: Villa start Martínez, Watkins and Rogers, while Liverpool do get Konaté and Mamardashvili out there but leave Salah on the bench and look less settled in the front four.
- + Villa 0.0 still works, but +0.25 is the cleaner revision because the draw is very live in this setup. Under angles improved with Liverpool's XI, yet both benches have enough late attacking quality that the side is safer than relying on 90-minute goal suppression.
Official lineups
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #25 · Giorgi Mamardashvili · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Joe Gomez · DEFENDER
- #5 · Ibrahima Konaté · DEFENDER
- #4 · Virgil van Dijk · DEFENDER
- #6 · Milos Kerkez · DEFENDER
- #38 · Ryan Gravenberch · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Alexis Mac Allister · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Dominik Szoboszlai · MIDFIELDER
- #17 · Curtis Jones · MIDFIELDER
- #73 · Rio Ngumoha · MIDFIELDER
- #18 · Cody Gakpo · ATTACKER
Bench
Florian Wirtz, Mohamed Salah, Federico Chiesa, Andrew Robertson, Freddie Woodman, Trey Nyoni, James McConnell, Talla Ndiaye
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: —
Starting XI
- #23 · Emiliano Martínez · GOALKEEPER
- #2 · Matty Cash · DEFENDER
- #4 · Ezri Konsa · DEFENDER
- #14 · Pau Torres · DEFENDER
- #12 · Lucas Digne · DEFENDER
- #3 · Victor Lindelöf · MIDFIELDER
- #8 · Youri Tielemans · MIDFIELDER
- #7 · John McGinn · MIDFIELDER
- #27 · Morgan Rogers · MIDFIELDER
- #10 · Emiliano Buendía · MIDFIELDER
- #11 · Ollie Watkins · ATTACKER
Bench
Ross Barkley, Andrés García, Tammy Abraham, Jadon Sancho, Douglas Luiz, Ian Maatsen, Lamare Bogarde, Leon Bailey
Injuries
- Aston Villa · Amadou Onana · Calf Injury · CALF_INJURY
- Liverpool · Stefan Bajcetic · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Liverpool · Giorgi Mamardashvili · Leg Injury · LEG_INJURY
- Liverpool · Hugo Ekitiké · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Liverpool · Wataru Endo · Broken Ankle · BROKEN_ANKLE
- Liverpool · Mohamed Salah · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
- Aston Villa · Alysson · Muscle Injury · MUSCLE_INJURY
- Liverpool · Alexander Isak · Groin Injury · GROIN_INJURY
- Aston Villa · Harvey Elliott · Unknown Injury · UNKNOWN_INJURY
- Liverpool · Ibrahima Konaté · Doubtful · DOUBTFUL
Why it made the board
Villa's XI looks cleaner from the first whistle, and Liverpool's attack is softer without Salah starting. In a same-points Europe-race game, the home +0.25 fits the most likely tight script better than chasing a full-match total.
Main risk
Tactical Counter: Liverpool can still flip a level game through transitions and elite second-half bench options.
Update timeline
Current version
Lineup revision
Initial publish
May 15, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Revision time
May 15, 2026, 8:05 PM GMT+2
Score
Locked