Match detail

Aston Villa vs Lille

UEFA Europa League · Round of 16

Match summary

Aston Villa

Lille

UEFA Europa League · Round of 16

Initial pick

Lineup revision status

Complete

Lineup-based prediction complete

The final pre-kickoff prediction has already been re-run with the official lineups.

Current version

Initial pickThis is the first published version.

Top eventPrice1.69

Match Winner - Aston Villa

Probability

61%

Confidence

medium

Confidence

61%

Published

Mar 19, 2026, 10:02 AM GMT+1

Kickoff

Mar 19, 2026, 9:00 PM GMT+1

Last update

Mar 19, 2026, 8:02 PM GMT+1

Result

PENDING

What shaped the view

Likely controlled early, with more transition space for Villa once Lille push for the aggregate.
No official lineups supplied; Villa's midfield absences lower control, but Lille carry the broader availability concerns.
The straight home win is cleaner than stretching to -1, and stronger than forcing a total in a second leg where Lille eventually have to chase.

Official lineups

Official lineups are not posted yet. This panel updates when the feed goes live.

Injuries

No injury report is currently available for this match.

Why it made the board

Complete

Villa take a 1-0 first-leg lead back home, and Lille arrive with the longer injury list plus added doubt around Andre. The game state suits Villa: manage the tie, then punish a side that has to open up.

Main risk

The main failure path is Villa playing the aggregate, not the leg, and settling into a draw if the match stays tight.

Update timeline

Current version

Initial pick

Published

Mar 19, 2026, 10:02 AM GMT+1

Last update

Mar 19, 2026, 8:02 PM GMT+1

Score

Locked

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